Ffos Las 19:50 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Jun 2026

Last Thursday New Thomas Arms Handicap

New Thomas Arms Handicap · 1m3f209y

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

New Thomas Arms Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Willow Wood (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker
    16/5
  2. 11/1
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 10 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Reem Rak silks
Reem Rak
Age 3 · 9-9
723-0
70
66
74
3
9-9
6/1 7/1 6/1
The form of her second at Newcastle last season reads well (7f AW) and she couldn't have given her true running when made favourite for handicap debut in April (1m); could be given another chance and she's bred for this far.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kelly Burn silks
Kelly Burn
Age 3 · 9-8
9-3521
69
71
83
3
9-8
11/4 4/1 9/4
Has improved for handicaps and edged home in a small field at Wolverhampton (1m4f AW); only 2lb higher now but in what looks a better race.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Salkadan silks
Salkadan
Age 3 · 9-7
76-721
68
74
80
3
9-7
16/1 6/1 14/1
Nearly won his first handicap and went one better in the second, albeit narrowly over a similar trip at Haydock (good); the runner-up was disappointing last weekend but this 3yo only went up 2lb and looks progressive.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Brave Leader silks
Brave Leader
Age 3 · 9-6
645-6
67
69
77
3
9-6
10/3 2/1 10/3
Steady improvement last year and appeared to perform below expectations on his handicap debut at Doncaster (1m2f, good to firm; 9-4 favourite); interest to see if backers return.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Willow Wood silks
Willow Wood
Age 3 · 9-4
645-4
65
68
77
3
9-4
9/2 9/2 7/2
200,000gns 2yo who is bred to be better than this mark but she was beaten about 6l in her first handicap over 1m2f on the AW; has to improve on that effort but it's still relatively early days.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Al's River silks
Al's River
Age 3 · 9-4
743-64
65
55
75
3
9-4
16/1 16/1 14/1
Improved in last season's novice races at about 1m but it's been a low-key start in handicaps, at 1m2f and 1m3f; trainer turns to blinkers for some inspiration.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Eze Sur Mer silks
Eze Sur Mer
Age 3 · 9-3
4-406
64
43
74
3
9-3
33/1 40/1 33/1
Not that dangerous in her first three races and again when 33-1 for handicap debut at Redcar (1m2f); wouldn't be the obvious answer.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Aravalli silks
Aravalli
Age 3 · 9-1
7-44
62
56
76
3
9-1
50/1 12/1 40/1
Showed more on third and final run in Irish maidens, finishing fourth of ten at Cork (1m2f, soft); left Jessica Harrington for 22,000gns; likely best watched unless backed.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Mick The Hat silks
Mick The Hat
Age 3 · 8-8
586
55
67
76
3
8-8
5/1 7/2 4/1
Beaten at least 12l in three qualifying races (1m-8.6f) but now goes handicapping at a modest level and over a longer trip; the market could tell a tale.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Reem Rak 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 13/2 Coral
2 Kelly Burn 11/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 11/4 Bet365
3 Salkadan 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Brave Leader 10/3 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 Coral
5 Willow Wood 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
6 Al's River 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
7 Eze Sur Mer 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Aravalli 50/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 13.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Mick The Hat 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kelly Burn

Speculative

Kelly Burn owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 James Fanshawe Daniel Muscutt
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Brave Leader

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Tom Ward
✓ Value Signal

Aravalli

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Joe Tickle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Kelly Burn
51.0 11/4
2 4. Brave Leader
50.4 10/3
3 5. Willow Wood
48.5 9/2
4 1. Reem Rak
47.8 6/1
5 9. Mick The Hat
44.8 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Salkadan
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 8-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Salkadan
Confidence: Medium

Salkadan leads the field with SR 74 and is trading at 13/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Salkadan, Kelly Burn, Brave Leader, Willow Wood, Mick The Hat
Each-way: Kelly Burn Danger: Brave Leader

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m3f209y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ffos Las Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade