Musselburgh 17:15 RESULTED
Class 6 6 Jun 2026

Last Saturday Edinburgh Gin Cannonball Handicap

Edinburgh Gin Cannonball Handicap · 1m2y

1248-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Edinburgh Gin Cannonball Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Approaching Dawn (IRE) Lauren Young · Jim Goldie
    22/1
  2. 100/30F
  3. 5/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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Punchestown

13:15–17:30 · 8 races

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13:40–17:15 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
War Memorial silks
War Memorial
Age 5 · 9-9
007217
53
47
63
5
9-9
5/1 9/2 5/1
Off the mark when beating a clear second at Musselburgh; big player again up 4lb
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Samra Star silks
Samra Star
Age 5 · 9-9
164382
53
39
59
5
9-9
15/2 6/1 7/1
Three-time AW winner but she doees not have comparable form on grass
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

3
Monhammer silks
Monhammer
Age 6 · 9-6
22325-
50
44
66
6
9-6
14/1 9/1 14/1
Slow ground would be a worry but worthy of respect otherwise off a fair mark
AI verdict

SR 44 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Little Ted silks
Little Ted
Age 9 · 9-6
509605
50
38
60
9
9-6
9/2 7/2 9/2
9-96; well down the field at Ripon (1m; beaten 17l) latest; far better to focus elsewhere.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

5
Nakatomi silks
Nakatomi
Age 4 · 9-3
695632
47
44
64
4
9-3
10/3 9/2 3/1
Yet to win but good second at Hamilton 15 days ago; not out of things
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

6
Zebra Star silks
Zebra Star
Age 6 · 9-3
3050-9
47
44
69
6
9-3
9/1 11/1 17/2
Won on reappearance here in 2024 and decent run after a break in 2025; could go well
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

7
Doon The Glen silks
Doon The Glen
Age 6 · 9-3
820525
47
42
63
6
9-3
7/1 5/1 7/1
Held by Jet Warrior on latest Ayr running and only win came in a 0-50 classified event
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

8
On The Bubble silks
On The Bubble
Age 5 · 9-1
546-23
45
42
64
5
9-1
13/2 10/1 11/2
Conditions shouldn't faze her and her reappearance 2nd has been franked; one to consider
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Pebble Dash silks
Pebble Dash
Age 4 · 9-1
642404
45
46
67
4
9-1
22/1 16/1 22/1
Below par last time but two solid AW runs in March; steps up in trip with stamina to prove
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

10
Freak Encounter silks
Freak Encounter
Age 4 · 9-1
050-96
45
40
62
4
9-1
33/1 22/1 33/1
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

11
Mavetheforcebewivu silks
Mavetheforcebewivu
Age 4 · 9-1
395-70
45
39
60
4
9-1
40/1 33/1 40/1
Should be all the better for her recent return to action but others are preferred
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

12
Approaching Dawn silks
Approaching Dawn
Age 6 · 9-1
56-875
45
34
51
6
9-1
20/1 22/1 16/1
Lightly raced 6yo who has yet to offer much, last of seven in Ayr handicap ten days ago
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 War Memorial 5/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 Coral
2 Samra Star 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 8/1 Coral
3 Monhammer 14/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 Coral
4 Little Ted 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 Coral
5 Nakatomi 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 Betfred
6 Zebra Star 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Doon The Glen 7/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 Coral
8 On The Bubble 13/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 7/1 Coral
9 Pebble Dash 22/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 28/1 Coral
10 Freak Encounter 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Coral
11 Mavetheforcebewivu 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
12 Approaching Dawn 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nakatomi

Speculative

Nakatomi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (24) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Alan Brown Rhys Elliott(5)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

War Memorial

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Lawrence Mullaney
✓ Value Signal

Freak Encounter

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Donald Whillans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
24 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +9.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
27 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Nakatomi
46.0 10/3
2 1. War Memorial
43.5 5/1
3 4. Little Ted
42.9 9/2
4 2. Samra Star
42.6 15/2
5 6. Zebra Star
41.7 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
War Memorial
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-3
10/3
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

4
Age 9 · 9-6
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-1
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-3
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 39 🐾

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

6
Age 6 · 9-3
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

3
Age 6 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 suggests ability but SP reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 9-1
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 34 🐾

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
War Memorial
Confidence: Speculative

War Memorial (SR 47) is the highest-rated horse in a compressed, low-quality field where the SR range spans only 13 points (34-47), making the 3-point edge over the cluster at SR 44 meaningful. His form string 007217 shows a recent '7' and a '1' two runs back, suggesting he has the ability to win at this level, and his 9-9 weight is manageable given he tops the SR chart. Trainer Lawrence Mullaney is a competent northern handler who places his horses well at tracks like Musselburgh. With all prices SP and no market data to contradict, SR leadership combined with the most recent winning form in the string drives the selection. Each-way alternative: Pebble Dash. Main danger: Monhammer — Monhammer (SR 44) carries a 3lb weight advantage over War Memorial at 9-6 and his form string 22325- shows consistent placed efforts suggesting he runs his race every time and could outstay rivals over 1m2y on Good ground.

Shortlist War Memorial, Pebble Dash, Monhammer
Each-way: Pebble Dash Danger: Monhammer

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m2y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade