Epsom — Class 1 · 1m4f6y
Every runner. Every signal. One decision.
SR 105 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 94 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Action | 18/1 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Alderman | 100/1 open 151.00 | — | 100/1 open 126.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Ancient Egypt | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 A Taste Of Glory | 150/1 open 201.00 | — | 150/1 open 201.00 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 125/1 open 201.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Balzac | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Bay Of Brilliance | 14/1 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 16/1 Coral |
| 7 Benvenuto Cellini | 2/1 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 2/1 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Christmas Day | 12/1 open 21.00 | — | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Item | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 10 James J Braddock | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Maltese Cross | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 12 Pierre Bonnard | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 13 Poker | 150/1 open 201.00 | — | 150/1 open 201.00 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 125/1 open 201.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Rebel Rocker | 66/1 open 101.00 | — | 66/1 open 126.00 | 66/1 open 126.00 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Item owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.
See full Fox reasoning →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 94 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Benvenuto Cellini (SR 123, 2/1) posts the strongest SR in the field bar Item, but crucially carries the same 9-2 as every other runner — no weight penalty to overcome. His form string of 2113-1 shows a horse in peak condition with a last-time-out win, and A P O'Brien's record in the Derby is unmatched; O'Brien also runs Action and Christmas Day here, but neither approaches Benvenuto Cellini's SR or market confidence. At 2/1 the market has made a clear statement, and the SR edge over the rest of the non-Item field (7 SR points clear of Item's nearest rival at this weight) combined with consistent Group-level form on a going description of Good to Soft — conditions O'Brien horses handle routinely at Epsom — makes this the most compelling case in the race. Each-way alternative: Item. Main danger: Item — Item (SR 130, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a flawless recent form string of 11-1 and Andrew Balding's stable in strong form — if he has the class to translate that unbeaten profile to a true Derby test on Good to Soft ground, he wins.