Goodwood 14:25 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Jun 2026

Last Sunday British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) · 6f

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Harv (IRE) Oisin Murphy · M D O'Callaghan
    5/6F
  2. Second Oakford (IRE)
    16/1
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
My A'Ali Baba silks
My A'Ali Baba
Age 2 · 9-8
1
63
77
2
9-8
9/2
Looked an unlikely winner for the first 4.5f of his Chepstow debut (6f, good to soft) but the penny dropped in the closing stages and he ultimately ran out a decisive winner; the bare form is nothing special and he will need more to defy a penalty but he is open to improvement.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Asgar silks
Asgar
Age 2 · 9-4
9
51
68
2
9-4
8/1 9/1 8/1
Smart pedigree but in need of the experience when down the field in a 6f maiden at Newbury last month (good ground; 12-1); this looks less demanding and he is open to improvement.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Bulletsnap silks
Bulletsnap
Age 2 · 9-4
52
2
9-4
5/1 9/2 5/1
85,000euros foal; second foal; by Minzaal; dam French Listed-placed 7.5f-8.5f winner (including 2yo/AW; RPR 93), sister to useful French 1m-1m4f winner Anobe; betting should be revealing for a stable in fine form.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Mobadir silks
Mobadir
Age 2 · 9-4
6
44
61
2
9-4
11/2
Left trailing over 1f out on his Salisbury debut (5f, good) 24 days ago, dropping out to finish last of the six runners (Oakford a neck and one position ahead in fifth); can do better and 6f should suit.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Oakford silks
Oakford
Age 2 · 9-4
5
45
62
2
9-4
10/1 FCST 8/1
In need of the experience when fifth of six at Salisbury (5f, good) 24 days ago, finishing a neck in front of the reopposing Mobadir; open to improvement over this extra furlong.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
The Harv silks
The Harv
Age 2 · 9-4
52
2
9-4
6/4 5/4 3/2
65,000euros yearling, £260,000 breeze-up 2yo; second foal; half-brother to Listed-placed 5f 2yo winner Awraad (RPR 78); dam 5f/6f winner (including 2yo/AW; 88); Irish trainer saddled a winning 2yo newcomer on Wednesday; Oisin Murphy booked; of obvious interest.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 My A'Ali Baba 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365
2 Asgar 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
3 Bulletsnap 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Bet365
4 Mobadir 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 Bet365
5 Oakford 10/1 8/1 8/1 9/1 17/2 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
6 The Harv 6/4 6/4 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.25 6/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

My A'Ali Baba

Speculative

My A'Ali Baba owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 David Evans Saffie Osborne
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

The Harv

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/4 · M D O'Callaghan
✓ Value Signal

Oakford

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Roger Teal
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. My A'Ali Baba
46.0 9/2
2 6. The Harv
45.7 6/4
3 3. Bulletsnap
43.9 5/1
4 5. Oakford
43.5 10/1
5 4. Mobadir
41.7 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
My A'Ali Baba
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 2 · 9-4
6/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 2 · 9-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
5/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 2 · 9-4
11/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Age 2 · 9-4
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Age 2 · 9-4
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
My A'Ali Baba
Confidence: Medium

My A'Ali Baba (SR 63) is the clear ratings leader in a weak novice field, holding a significant SR advantage over the next-best trio (SR 52) and carrying only 4lb more than them at 9-8. Critically, the form figure '1' confirms a winning debut, meaning this horse already knows how to win — the strongest possible evidence in a field of maidens and once-raced also-rans. David Evans is a capable juvenile handler, and the soft going at Goodwood does not fundamentally disadvantage a winner-on-debut who has already shown ability. The SR edge of 11 points over the closest rivals is material when the field ceiling is this low, and a proven winner should dominate debutants and a horse that finished ninth (Asgar). Each-way alternative: Bulletsnap. Main danger: Bulletsnap — William Haggas regularly produces well-prepared debutants capable of winning first time out, and an unexposed Haggas juvenile on soft ground at Goodwood cannot be dismissed despite the lack of a form line.

Shortlist My A'Ali Baba, Bulletsnap, The Harv
Each-way: Bulletsnap Danger: Bulletsnap

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Goodwood Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade