Old boy had a good career across the codes for the late Edward O'Grady; had been out of action since summer of 2023 until resuming in point-to-points last month.
Form last 6/F0/P2
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR116RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Bumper winner on debut, yet to add to that; his fifth of 23 in 2m4f Leopardstown handicap over Christmas would give him a chance; well beaten on bad ground next time; had a spin on the Flat last month.
Form last 6/2550-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR118RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Won 2m5f Sligo handicap on good ground last summer and her reappearance fifth at Bellewstown wasn't a bad effort over a trip too short; tailed off on chase debut last month.
Form last 61605-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
79SR117RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Won modest 2m5f maiden in Sligo last summer; well beaten in two handicap starts, but probably needed return; rider has had a fine year in point-to-points.
Form last 68176-8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR114RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
In receipt of plenty of weight from Qaasid when beating that rival in claimer at Clonmel in February; remote second in another claimer a week later; headgear removed for stable debut.
Form last 680P12-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR115RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Has become hard to predict but travelled a bit better than he often does when fifth in a first-time visor at Ballinrobe; cheekpieces back on now and trip looks too sharp.
Form last 6P0-675
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
79SR117RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Five-time Flat winner in Britain; rightly got controversial 2m4f Limerick handicap hurdle in the stewards' room after being badly hampered by the first past the post; finished off well that day and likely drier ground here is a positive.
Form last 6820S-1
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
82SR113RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Best form is over 2m and previous attempts over around 2m4f haven't worked out; can go well fresh which he again demonstrated at Ballinrobe, but not sure to back that up.
Form last 6/380-2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR116RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed in a decent point and ran well on handicap debut when third of 19 at Down Royal (2m4f, yielding) in March; well held at the festival here, but should be competitive back down in grade
Form last 696430-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR117RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mary's Pride owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1Edward CawleySarah Kavanagh(4)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Fairlander
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · P J Rothwell✓ Value Signal
Icare Desbois
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · David Harry Kelly◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Adaliz (SR 89, 11-1) is the clear class standout in this field — a full 5-7 SR points clear of every other runner, which on a 0-200 scale is a meaningful edge. The form string /1310- shows two wins and a third from four completed starts, with the sequence reading left-to-right as recent as last season; that 'W-P-W' pattern at hurdles suggests a consistent performer who finds the line. At 11-1 she is one of the lighter weights in the field, giving her a real lbs advantage over the top-weighted Icare Desbois (12-0, SR 79), and De Bromhead's yard provides a significant trainer edge over the smaller operations dominating this card. The 5-year-old age profile also suits — she is at peak physical development compared to the multiple 8-11 year-olds in the field who have shown serial inconsistency.
Each-way alternative: Qaasid.
Main danger: Lakewood Rose — Lakewood Rose (SR 84, 10-12) has shown admirable consistency with four runs all resulting in a finish (6664-4), suggesting a durable stayer who handles good ground over this trip, and the light weight of 10-12 gives her a stone-plus advantage over Adaliz if the latter faces any jumping hesitation.
ShortlistAdaliz, Qaasid, Lakewood Rose, Fenway Park, Mary's Pride