Goodwood 16:45 RESULTED
Class 1 7 Jun 2026

Last Sunday Tapster Stakes (Listed Race)

Tapster Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m3f218y

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Tapster Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tenability (GB) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas
    11/10F
  2. Second Hamish (GB)
    2/1
  3. 33/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hamish silks
Hamish
Age 10 · 9-8
/1131-
117
110
125
10
9-8
15/8 31/19 7/4
10yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including at Newbury in October when last seen; has been kept to ground softer than good for a long time; kicked off that 2025 campaign with a win in this race and this star has good chance to repeat the dose.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Arabian Crown silks
Arabian Crown
Age 3 · 9-3
46351-
107
95
124
3
9-3
13/2
2024 Sandown Classic Trial winner (good to soft) who missed the rest of that season; underwhelming on first four starts last year and ran particularly poorly at Glorious Goodwood (sole visit here) but he ended that campaign by winning narrowly in a four-runner Listed race at Windsor in August; needs to build on that but should stay 1m4f.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Glen Buck silks
Glen Buck
Age 5 · 9-3
3/116-
94
96
114
5
9-3
22/1 FCST 18/1
7yo who has had only six races, winning four; not discredited in April 2025 (1m2f; best form at 1m4f) when last seen but this graduation from handicaps seems a stiff task and it's also his turf debut.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Involvement silks
Involvement
Age 5 · 9-3
5/0134
105
94
120
5
9-3
15/2 8/1 13/2
Missed 2025; started this season at Meydan and Longchamp but returned to British soil with career-best form 16 days ago when a close fourth of nine in 1m2f Listed race at this track; more to prove on softer than good and this is also his first appearance beyond 1m2f, but that latest run gave some encouragement; either way he needs to find a bit extra.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Midak silks
Midak
Age 4 · 9-3
104-69
102
86
116
4
9-3
50/1
Won his first three races in France last year and started just 9-1 when brought over for the Derby but faded badly into tenth; ran respectably over 1m1f (soft) in October on his only subsequent start for Francis Graffard but an also-ran in the UAE this year over 1m1f (Group 1) and 1m2f (Listed) on both starts since 300,000euros sale in November; plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Tenability silks
Tenability
Age 4 · 9-3
1112-3
109
108
123
4
9-3
5/4 18/13 5/4
Won a novice and three Ascot 1m4f handicaps on varied ground last June-September; pipped a below-form Hamish for second in Ascot Group 3 on final outing last year and resumed his progress when he reappeared with a close third in Newbury Group 3 (1m4f, good) in April; that puts him into very serious contention today.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hamish 15/8 open 2.63 7/4 7/4 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 Bet365
2 Arabian Crown 13/2 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 William Hill
3 Glen Buck 22/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 22/1 Bet365
4 Involvement 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Midak 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
6 Tenability 5/4 open 2.38 11/8 11/8 11/8 11/8 11/8 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hamish

Live signal

Hamish owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 William Haggas Tom Marquand
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tenability

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Midak

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Hamish
61.8 15/8
2 6. Tenability
59.0 5/4
3 4. Involvement
56.3 15/2
4 2. Arabian Crown
53.6 13/2
5 3. Glen Buck
45.2 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hamish
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-3
5/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 10 · 9-8
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-3
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-3
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hamish
Confidence: Medium

Hamish (SR 110, 9-8) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 2 points clear of Tenability and 14+ clear of the rest. His form string /1131- shows three wins from four starts in recent seasons including a win at Listed level, confirming he belongs at this grade. At 10 years old he remains active for Haggas — a trainer who does not run older horses without purpose — and the soft going suits a stayer of his profile over 1m3f218y. The 5lb weight penalty over the rest of the field is a consideration, but his SR advantage is wide enough to absorb it. Each-way alternative: Tenability. Main danger: Tenability — Tenability (SR 108) is trained by the same Haggas yard, carries 5lb less than Hamish at 9-3, and a recent 1112-3 form string shows consistent placed form at a high level — if Hamish is not fully wound up after a break, Tenability's lighter weight on soft ground could tip the balance.

Shortlist Hamish, Tenability, Glen Buck
Each-way: Tenability Danger: Tenability

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m3f218y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Goodwood Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade