Perth 14:07 RESULTED
Class 4 7 Jun 2026

Last Sunday Scone Palace Jousting Tournament Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Scone Palace Jousting Tournament Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m4f35y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Scone Palace Jousting Tournament Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Flying Ace (IRE) Sean Bowen · Gordon Elliott
    3/1
  2. Second Kibris (IRE)
    11/4
  3. Third Trigg (GB)
    4/5F
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Flying Ace silks
Flying Ace
Age 5 · 11-8
34-41
81
106
5
11-8
11/4 FCST 5/2
Only his second run over hurdles when making no mistake at odds-on in a good-ground 2m1f maiden at Cartmel 11 days ago; the RPR was modest but he did beat a useful Flat recruit and his yard has won three of the last four renewals of this race.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Trigg silks
Trigg
Age 5 · 11-8
122-1
95
118
5
11-8
8/11 FCST 8/13
Did well in bumpers and comfortably off the mark over hurdles at Uttoxeter (2m, good); this is tougher than that winnable race but he's well related and entitled to improve plenty more with racing.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kibris silks
Kibris
Age 4 · 11-2
243P-1
120
92
117
4
11-2
7/2 4/1 7/2
Useful Flat winner for Joseph O'Brien; 0-4 over hurdles for that yard but came good on stable debut (same ownership) with a narrow win over 2m here last month (good to soft); he would have won easier but for a late mistake; there are some stamina concerns over quite this far.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Saint Cunning silks
Saint Cunning
Age 5 · 11-1
5
81
5
11-1
28/1 FCST 22/1
Ordinary form when fifth in a bumper here but did go off only 5-1 and he raced freely before weakening late on; could improve on that but clearly needs to.
AI verdict

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Brewdog silks
Brewdog
Age 4 · 10-9
88-9
48
69
4
10-9
125/1 FCST 100/1
300-1 when tailed off behind Kibris here 24 days ago; no appeal.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Busted Springs silks
Busted Springs
Age 4 · 10-9
9-7
84
4
10-9
200/1
Tailed off in bumpers at Ayr (heavy) and here (good to soft); huge odds both times.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Dolly Dior silks
Dolly Dior
Age 5 · 10-8
57-
85
5
10-8
80/1 FCST 66/1
Insufficient promise in two good-ground bumpers to warrant a second look here on hurdle debut.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Flying Ace 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 5/2 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 11/4 Bet365
2 Trigg 8/11 4/6 4/6 open 1.62 8/11 8/13 8/11 Bet365
3 Kibris 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Saint Cunning 28/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 28/1 Bet365
5 Brewdog 125/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 Bet365
6 Busted Springs 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 Bet365
7 Dolly Dior 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Trigg

Speculative

Trigg owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Flying Ace

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Gordon Elliott
✓ Value Signal

Saint Cunning

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · S R B Crawford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Trigg
58.4 8/11
2 1. Flying Ace
54.6 11/4
3 3. Kibris
54.1 7/2
4 4. Saint Cunning
44.1 28/1
5 7. Dolly Dior
41.6 80/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Trigg
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 11-8
8/11
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 11-8
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 11-2
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Trigg
Confidence: Medium

Trigg (SR 95, 11-8) is the clear class leader in this field and carries the joint-top weight but his form string 122-1 — a recent win being the rightmost digit — confirms he arrives in peak form. Dan Skelton is a high-calibre trainer for whom novice hurdlers are a strong suit, and the 2m4f on good ground poses no obvious issue. His SR of 95 sits 3 points clear of the next-best Kibris (SR 92) and 10+ points above everything else, making him the standout on multiple aligned signals: form, trainer, and rating. Each-way alternative: Kibris. Main danger: Kibris — Kibris (SR 92, form 243P-1) also arrives off a recent win, is 7lb lighter than Trigg at 11-2, and Crawford has landed a blow with this horse before — the weight advantage on good ground is a credible threat.

Shortlist Trigg, Kibris, Flying Ace
Each-way: Kibris Danger: Kibris

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f35y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Perth Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade