Danny And Harriett Birthday Bash Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f70y
SR 79 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Valpovo | 40/1 open 12.00 | — | 100/1 open 15.00 | 100/1 open 15.00 | 100/1 open 15.00 | 100/1 open 15.00 | 100/1 Coral |
| 2 Silver State | 7/4 open 4.50 | — | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Colourband | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Mr Seagull | 16/1 open 12.00 | — | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Magic Trip | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 22/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 Coral |
| 6 Asia Force | 17/2 open 8.00 | — | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Coral |
| 7 Simon Pierre | 17/2 open 9.00 | — | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 Betfred |
| 8 Morbeh | 3/1 open 3.25 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Home Hero | 13/2 open 8.00 | — | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Morbeh owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Morbeh (SR 88, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field and arrives in career-best form with a recent win (form 5-1421, rightmost digit = 1), meaning he won last time out. Roger Varian's operation is among the sharpest in training 3yo middle-distance horses, and 9-0 is a favourable weight relative to his SR advantage — he carries 9lb less than the joint top-weights Silver State and Valpovo despite being the best-rated horse by 4SR. The market has installed him as a firm favourite at 9/4 with genuine confidence, not drift, supporting the form case. Chester's tight turns and 1m2f70y trip suit a progressive, well-handled 3yo, and Good to Soft is no obstacle for a Varian yard that routinely targets this type of ground. Each-way alternative: Silver State. Main danger: Silver State — Silver State (SR 92, 4/1) is actually the highest-rated horse in the field and carries 9-9, but her recent form string 331152 shows she has been runner-up or third far more often than winning, and she is shouldering 9lb more than Morbeh — on Good to Soft at Chester that weight concession matters and her win conversion is a concern.