Winter Festival Early Bird Handicap · 6f
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Dancing Saxon | 10/1 open 9.50 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Breaking Dawn | 8/1 open 9.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Nakamura | 7/1 open 10.00 | — | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Midnight Dusk | 10/1 open 9.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 4 Sovereign Cry | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Stone Bear | 5/1 | — | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 All The Girls | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 7 Nazario | 5/1 open 12.00 | — | 9/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 12.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Joyful Tidings | 7/1 open 5.50 | — | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 9 Venetian Star | 15/2 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Unidos | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 Coral |
| 12 Coincidental Glory | 15/2 open 15.00 | — | 13/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 13 Absoluteassignment | 10/1 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nazario owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Stone Bear (SR 84, 5/1) is the standout on ratings — the only runner in the field above SR 80 — and crucially carries just 9-10, a manageable weight for the best-rated horse. The form string -17131 is compelling: a win, a runner-up, a win, a win, and a win in the most recent five completed runs, showing peak form and consistency over sprint distances. Ross O'Sullivan's runner is well-supported at 5/1 co-favourite, and good ground at 6f at Fairyhouse suits a horse who has been winning freely in current form. Each-way alternative: Joyful Tidings. Main danger: Dancing Saxon — Dancing Saxon (SR 72, 17/2) won last time out on a 3046-1 form line, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-6, and Joseph Patrick O'Brien's yard could exploit a horse in sharp form at a favourable mark.