Ascot 15:40 RESULTED
Class 1 16 Jun 2026

Tuesday 16 June King Charles III Stakes (Group 1)

Ascot — Class 1 · 5f

Mr Fox tips Kalpana 8/1 Read the verdict
5fDistance
£396,970Prize Fund
Official Result

King Charles III Stakes (Group 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mission Central (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien
    14/1
  2. Second Rayevka (IRE)
    7/1
  3. 100/30F
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Big race Sat 25 Jul King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · 16:10

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Settled
  • 26 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 month, 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Comment
1
Ain't Nobody silks
Ain't Nobody
Age 4 · 9-7
007-09
106
84
106OR
4
9-7
100/1
Winless in its last five starts and again disappointing at York last time, Ain't Nobody is very erratic and not always resolute, though first-time headgear may sharpen focus, and it does hold course-and-distance form on today's ground.
AI verdict

Ain't Nobody's poor form (007-09), low Saturday Rating of 84, and heavy weight of 9-7 justify the weak 2/5 rating.

2
American Affair silks
American Affair
Age 6 · 9-7
151-02
111
99
111OR
6
9-7
15/2
Won this race last year and arrives in decent nick after finishing second in a Group 2 on latest start, so course-and-distance form stacks up well; the 133 lb burden from stall 18 is the obvious query, though a progressive return to form suggests fitness is no concern.
AI verdict

Rated just 99 with inconsistent form (151-02) and carrying 9-7 in a Group 1, American Affair lacks the credentials to compete at this level.

3
Big Mojo silks
Big Mojo
Age 4 · 9-7
2510-7
117
99
117OR
4
9-7
14/1
Beaten five lengths in a Group 2 last time out, that run probably needed after 34 days off, Big Mojo is well-suited by today's 6f on fast ground and holds strong claims off 117 — the risk is getting caught too far back again as last year here showed.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 99 and poor recent form (2510-7) make Big Mojo uncompetitive at 9-7 in this Group 1.

4
Cover Up silks
Cover Up
Age 6 · 9-7
41-138
109
89
109OR
6
9-7
33/1 FCST 25/1
Held every chance on form credentials — acts on any going over 5f — but well held in a Group 1 last time and ranks 22nd of 26 on our figures; the first-time headgear and 80-day break add further uncertainty for a horse that simply may not be up to this level.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 89 and inconsistent form (41-138) at 9-7 weight makes Cover Up a weak contender in this Group 1.

5
Getreadytorumble silks
Getreadytorumble
Age 4 · 9-7
213-37
101
89
101OR
4
9-7
66/1
Beaten five lengths in a Group 2 last time — fair enough form — and Listed-placed with good prior profile, but ranked 21 of 26 on our figures and needs more improvement again to trouble these; the wide draw in a large field adds no help.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 89 and inconsistent form of 213-37 limits confidence.

6
Jakajaro silks
Jakajaro
Age 5 · 9-7
57-114
108
95
108OR
5
9-7
25/1
Shaped well when fourth in a Group 2 last time, going down by just 1¼ lengths only near the finish, and two wins in its last five starts show the progressive profile — yet stepping into this grade still leaves plenty to find.
AI verdict

Jakajaro's modest Saturday Rating of 95 and inconsistent form (57-114) at 9-7 weight undermine confidence in a Group 1 contest.

7
Jm Jungle silks
Jm Jungle
Age 6 · 9-7
160-49
108
88
108OR
6
9-7
40/1
Shock Group 2 winner last year, but JM Jungle has failed to recapture that form this season, beaten seven lengths in a Group 2 last time — hard to fancy at these weights from stall 14, even if the trip and going hold no fears.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a weak form figure of 160-49 and a Saturday Rating of just 88 limits Jm Jungle's prospects significantly.

8
Night Raider silks
Night Raider
Age 5 · 9-7
450-11
112
98
112OR
5
9-7
13/2
Back-to-back wins culminate in a career-best Temple Stakes Group 2 success at Haydock last time out, and with conditions and trip squarely in favour, Night Raider arrives in fine trim just 24 days later — the main risk is whether the bold front-running style holds up at this level.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 98 and inconsistent form (450-11) limits Night Raider's Group 1 prospects.

9
Overpass silks
Overpass
Age 7 · 9-7
9423-4
116
98
116OR
7
9-7
5/2 11/4 5/2
Consistent G1 performer whose T J Smith Stakes fourth (beaten 2l) sets the standard here, and dropping in trip to a stiff track plays to his strengths; yet to win in recent starts but rates clear top on our figures and will be tough to peg back.
AI verdict

Overpass carries top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 98 and uninspiring recent form of 9423-4.

10
Rumstar silks
Rumstar
Age 6 · 9-7
5560-2
110
92
110OR
6
9-7
16/1
Returned to form with a close second in a Group 3 on fast ground latest, and suits today's trip and conditions well; yet to score in recent starts and faces a stiff ask at this level after being outclassed here last year, but is clearly in better shape now.
AI verdict

Rumstar's modest Saturday Rating of 92, recent form of 5560-2, and 9-7 weight burden suggest limited Group 1 winning credentials.

11
Shagraan silks
Shagraan
Age 5 · 9-7
121-30
107
97
107OR
5
9-7
50/1
Beaten favourite last time in the Temple Stakes but holds Listed-class form over this trip and going — a multiple winner at this level who retains claims stepping back from Group company, though that Haydock flop leaves a question mark hanging over current form.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-7, a Saturday Rating of 97, and recent form showing a 0 and 3, Shagraan lacks the market confidence for Group 1 level.

12
Starlust silks
Starlust
Age 5 · 9-7
0/74-6
109
88
109OR
5
9-7
33/1 28/1 33/1
Showed Group 1 class and ran encouragingly in this race last year, but winless in recent starts and must prove that sharpness is back after a stud sabbatical; the Carlisle Listed run 17 days ago should strip fitness forward.
AI verdict

Poor recent form (0/74-6) and a below-par Saturday Rating of 88 make Starlust unconvincing at 9-7 in Group 1 company.

13
Asfoora silks
Asfoora
Age 7 · 9-4
171-00
113
98
113OR
7
9-4
9/1 17/2 9/1
Defends her 2024 crown here, but two unplaced efforts this term — including a poor showing on easy ground at Haydock last time — raise questions about current form; the tongue-tie is new, fast ground suits, and a bounce-back from this proven G1 winner can't be dismissed.
AI verdict

Recent form figures of 171-00 and a Saturday Rating of just 98 make 9-4 weight look burdensome at Group 1 level.

14
Azure Angel silks
Azure Angel
Age 6 · 9-4
81-615
98
90
98OR
6
9-4
100/1 100/1 80/1
Azure Angel steps up sharply in class after a creditable Listed effort last time, but at 130 lb from stall 25 and ranked 24 of 26 on our figures, the step into this grade looks a tough ask — first-time blinkers are a plus, though.
AI verdict

Form figure of 5 in latest run and a Saturday Rating of 90 make Azure Angel uncompetitive at 9-4 weight in Group 1 class.

15
First Instinct silks
First Instinct
Age 4 · 9-4
5410-9
106
93
106OR
4
9-4
80/1 66/1 80/1
Landed a G3 success in recent starts but has disappointed twice since, including a 6½-length beating last time out 45 days ago; acts on today's going and distance, yet improvement is needed if that winning form is to resurface.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 93, poor recent form (5410-9), and carrying 9-4 make First Instinct an unconvincing Group 1 contender.

16
Frost At Dawn silks
Frost At Dawn
Age 5 · 9-4
430-08
106
92
106OR
5
9-4
40/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in recent starts and below-par at Haydock last time on easy ground, Frost At Dawn has the course-and-distance form and wears first-time cheekpieces that may spark a revival, though a disappointing 2025 campaign so far leaves plenty to prove from stall 3.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 92 and poor form figures of 430-08 make Frost At Dawn uncompetitive at 9-4 weight in this Group 1.

17
Heavenly Heather silks
Heavenly Heather
Age 5 · 9-4
152542
92
80
92OR
5
9-4
66/1 80/1 50/1
Beaten just 2¼ lengths when second at York latest, Heavenly Heather has been progressive, but ranked last of 26 on our figures and drawn in stall 22, this looks a big ask at the weights.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 80 and inconsistent form (152542) at 9-4 weight make Heavenly Heather unconvincing in Group 1 company.

18
Mgheera silks
Mgheera
Age 6 · 9-4
865-65
104
85
104OR
6
9-4
50/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in its last five starts and ranked well down our figures in a competitive field, Mgheera does at least have course-and-distance form on today's going and shaped with credit when beaten two lengths in a Group 2 last time, hinting at residual class.
AI verdict

Poor recent form (865-65) and a low Saturday Rating of 85 make Mgheera unconvincing at 9-4 weight in Group 1.

19
Miss Attitude silks
Miss Attitude
Age 6 · 9-4
10-745
101
83
101OR
6
9-4
66/1 FCST 50/1
Beaten five lengths in a Group 3 last time after missing the break, Miss Attitude's recent form reads consistently enough but she needs more to be competitive at this level, and ranked near the foot of our assessments, first-time cheekpieces must do the heavy lifting from stall 16.
AI verdict

Low Saturday Rating of 83 and poor recent form (10-745) at 9-4 weight makes her a weak Group 1 contender.

20
Monteille silks
Monteille
Age 5 · 9-4
816-75
109
94
109OR
5
9-4
50/1 50/1 40/1
Consistent Group winner in France who ran creditably when beaten two lengths in a Group 1 last time out, but fast ground remains a concern and the 80-day absence gives pause — capable of mixing it, though conditions may again blunt the edge.
AI verdict

Rated just 94 with uninspiring form of 816-75 and carrying 9-4, Monteille lacks the credentials for Group 1 success.

21
Rayevka silks
Rayevka
Age 4 · 9-4
26-561
108
93
108OR
4
9-4
6/1 13/2 6/1
Rayevka arrives in form after a convincing Group 3 win at Longchamp 37 days ago, benefitting from a drop in trip and grade, and ran well at this very meeting last year — stiff 5f on today's going looks ideal, though 130lb and a field of 26 pose stiff tasks.
AI verdict

Recent form of 26-561 and a Saturday Rating of 93 make Rayevka unconvincing at 9-4 in Group 1 company.

22
Rosy Affair silks
Rosy Affair
Age 5 · 9-4
411-21
108
100
108OR
5
9-4
25/1 20/1 22/1
Rosy Affair arrives on the back of a Listed win at Haydock 25 days ago and has won three of her last five starts, but stepping up in class looks the key question for this progressive mare, who handles today's trip and conditions well enough.
AI verdict

Rated just 100 with form showing inconsistency (411-21) and carrying 9-4 in a Group 1, the market has overlooked Rosy Affair entirely.

23
Time For Sandals silks
Time For Sandals
Age 4 · 9-4
137-58
109
89
109OR
4
9-4
22/1 16/1 18/1
Landed the Commonwealth Cup at this very meeting 12 months ago, so course form reads perfectly, and a trainer firing on all cylinders adds to the appeal after a first-run reappearance at York that arguably underflattered — there should be more to come. The wide draw from stall 9 is the one factor to weigh.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 89, inconsistent form (137-58), and carrying 9-4 weight against stronger market rivals justify only 2 stars.

24
Aspect Island silks
Aspect Island
Age 3 · 9-1
133-73
106
94
106OR
3
9-1
100/1
Consistent sprinter who ran a game race when a close third in Listed company last time out, but has been placed at the highest level and this demands even more again; the first-time visor is an interesting move, though, and 117 on our ratings suggests there's ability to exploit.
AI verdict

Aspect Island's Saturday Rating of 94, 9-1 odds, and inconsistent form figures of 133-73 indicate limited Group 1 competitiveness.

25
Behike silks
Behike
Age 3 · 9-1
3-11
100
94
100OR
3
9-1
28/1
Boasts back-to-back wins including a cosy novice success at Lingfield last time, but steps up sharply in grade now and, ranked 20th of 26 in the field, this looks a big ask so early in its career.
AI verdict

Behike's modest Saturday Rating of 94, unfancied market position, and inconsistent form reading 3-11 limit confidence in this Group 1 contest.

26
Mission Central silks
Mission Central
Age 3 · 9-1
610-11
110
102
110OR
3
9-1
10/1 9/1 10/1
Confirmed the improvement shown as a two-year-old by winning a Listed sprint at Naas last time out, and still progressing with a top course jockey aboard; the step back to five furlongs from stall 24 on 127 lb may test, as connections likely prefer six.
AI verdict

Low Saturday Rating of 102 and 9-1 market position signal insufficient form consistency for Group 1 class.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ain't Nobody 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 Bet365
2 American Affair 15/2 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 8/1 William Hill
3 Big Mojo 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Cover Up 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
5 Getreadytorumble 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 Bet365
6 Jakajaro 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
7 Jm Jungle 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
8 Night Raider 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 7/1 William Hill
9 Overpass 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 11/4 William Hill
10 Rumstar 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
11 Shagraan 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
12 Starlust 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 William Hill
13 Asfoora 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Coral
14 Azure Angel 100/1 open 126.00 80/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 126.00 80/1 open 126.00 100/1 Bet365
15 First Instinct 80/1 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 Bet365
16 Frost At Dawn 40/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Bet365
17 Heavenly Heather 66/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 101.00 66/1 Bet365
18 Mgheera 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
19 Miss Attitude 66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 Bet365
20 Monteille 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 Bet365
21 Rayevka 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 Betfred
22 Rosy Affair 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
23 Time For Sandals 22/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 22/1 Bet365
24 Aspect Island 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 Bet365
25 Behike 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 33/1 William Hill
26 Mission Central 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Overpass

Speculative

Overpass owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Bjorn Baker Joshua Parr
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Night Raider

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · K R Burke
✓ Value Signal

Shagraan

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Clive Cox
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Overpass
58.7 5/2
2 8. Night Raider
57.9 13/2
3 21. Rayevka
56.9 6/1
4 26. Mission Central
56.2 10/1
5 2. American Affair
54.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🦊 Mr Fox
Kalpana
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Jakajaro
Three-way split

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 7 · 9-7
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

Overpass carries top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 98 and uninspiring recent form of 9423-4.

21
Age 4 · 9-4
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

Recent form of 26-561 and a Saturday Rating of 93 make Rayevka unconvincing at 9-4 in Group 1 company.

8
Age 5 · 9-7
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 98 and inconsistent form (450-11) limits Night Raider's Group 1 prospects.

2
Age 6 · 9-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

Rated just 99 with inconsistent form (151-02) and carrying 9-7 in a Group 1, American Affair lacks the credentials to compete at this level.

13
Age 7 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 98 🐾

Recent form figures of 171-00 and a Saturday Rating of just 98 make 9-4 weight look burdensome at Group 1 level.

26
Age 3 · 9-1
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

Low Saturday Rating of 102 and 9-1 market position signal insufficient form consistency for Group 1 class.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 99 and poor recent form (2510-7) make Big Mojo uncompetitive at 9-7 in this Group 1.

10
Age 6 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

Rumstar's modest Saturday Rating of 92, recent form of 5560-2, and 9-7 weight burden suggest limited Group 1 winning credentials.

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Jakajaro

Jakajaro owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

ChatGPT
Rosy Affair

Rosy Affair owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Favourite Focus lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

Gemini
American Affair

American Affair owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Value Hunter lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionKalpanaFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

🗺 The Course Class 1

5f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
26 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade