Southwell Racecourse Conferences And Events Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m13y
Centigrade's outdated form of just two runs (21/) and absence of market support leave significant uncertainty despite carrying top weight of 10-7.
Keble Forever's 2/5 rating reflects a strong Saturday Rating of 125 but is undermined by unknown form and non-favourite market status.
Limited form data, a high weight of 10-0, and no market favouritism justify Moral Victory's modest 2/5 Saturday Rating of 125.
Poor form figures of 59 and a Saturday Rating of 130 with 9-4 weight suggest limited prospects in this novice contest.
Burning Impact's 2/5 stars reflects unknown form and a heavy 9-4 weight assignment without favourite market support.
Clatford's moderate form figures of 42 and mid-tier Saturday Rating of 131 at 9-4 weight justify a cautious 3-star assessment.
Cliff Danger's poor form of 64, unfavoured market position, and below-par Saturday Rating of 131 justify only 2/5 stars.
Weak form figures of 87 and a low Saturday Rating of 130 at 9-4 weight suggest limited winning prospects.
Consistent form of 3-3 and solid Saturday Rating of 132 at 9-4 weight suggest mid-tier potential without market favoritism.
A single third-place form figure, a Saturday Rating of 132, and no market favouritism combine to justify a weak 2/5 star rating.
Weak form figures of 54- and a low Saturday Rating of 131 while carrying 9-4 weight justify just 2/5 stars.
Low Saturday Rating of 130, carrying 9-4 weight with unknown form and no market support justified only 2/5 stars.
Single run showing a zero form figure and unfavoured market position at 8-13 weight limits confidence despite a 133 Saturday Rating.
Halimede's poor form figures of 98 and a Saturday Rating of 133 with an 8-13 weight burden suggest limited winning prospects here.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Centigrade | 4/5 open 2.10 | — | 5/6 open 2.38 | 5/6 open 2.38 | 8/11 open 2.10 | 4/5 open 2.25 | 5/6 Coral |
| 2 Keble Forever | 7/1 open 13.00 | — | 7/1 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Moral Victory | 66/1 open 81.00 | — | 66/1 | 66/1 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 William Hill |
| 4 Alkaios | 80/1 open 101.00 | — | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Burning Impact | 15/2 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 6 Clatford | 14/1 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 William Hill |
| 7 Cliff Danger | 25/1 | — | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 William Hill |
| 8 Golden Buddy | 40/1 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 William Hill |
| 9 Sheikhnshah | 15/2 open 9.00 | — | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 10 Slalom | 7/2 | — | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3/1 | 11/4 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Spectical | 11/2 | — | 5/1 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Star Of The Desert | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 William Hill |
| 13 Burrows Silver | 125/1 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Halimede | 125/1 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Centigrade owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCentigrade's outdated form of just two runs (21/) and absence of market support leave significant uncertainty despite carrying top weight of 10-7.
Weak form figures of 54- and a low Saturday Rating of 131 while carrying 9-4 weight justify just 2/5 stars.
Keble Forever's 2/5 rating reflects a strong Saturday Rating of 125 but is undermined by unknown form and non-favourite market status.
Burning Impact's 2/5 stars reflects unknown form and a heavy 9-4 weight assignment without favourite market support.
Consistent form of 3-3 and solid Saturday Rating of 132 at 9-4 weight suggest mid-tier potential without market favoritism.
Clatford's moderate form figures of 42 and mid-tier Saturday Rating of 131 at 9-4 weight justify a cautious 3-star assessment.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sheikhnshah (SR 132, 9-4) leads the field on a combination of SR, weight, and most importantly form substance — a 3-3 record shows consistent placed effort at a level that warrants confidence in a novice stakes where many rivals are unraced or lightly tried. Julie Camacho's yard is competent at placing horses on AW tracks and the 1m13y trip at Southwell suits a horse that has shown staying power across two runs. The 3-star AI probability rating (shared only with Clatford) adds a second signal aligning with the form evidence. Halimede (SR 133, 8-13) carries the joint-top SR but comes off a single run that produced an '8' and a '9', suggesting ability without consistency, and the lighter weight on Sheikhnshah is marginal comfort. Each-way alternative: Halimede. Main danger: Clatford — Clatford (SR 131, 9-4) shares the joint-highest AI probability star rating (3 stars) and posted a solid '42' form line — the most recent run being a second place — from Martyn Meade's yard, which suggests a horse on an improving trajectory that could easily progress past the selection first time over this AW trip.