Ascot 16:15 RESULTED
Class 1 18 Jun 2026

Thursday 18 June Gold Cup (Group 1)

Ascot — Class 1 · 2m3f210y

Mr Fox tips Kalpana 8/1 Read the verdict
2m3f210yDistance
£396,970Prize Fund
Official Result

Gold Cup (Group 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Scandinavia (USA) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien
    11/8F
  2. 100/30
  3. 11/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 25 Jul King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · 16:10

Chelmsford (AW)

13:30–16:25 · 6 races

Yarmouth

13:30–16:25 · 6 races

Ripon

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Ascot

14:30–18:10 · 7 races

Leopardstown

16:35–20:20 · 8 races

Lingfield

16:41–20:40 · 8 races

Southwell (AW)

17:55–21:00 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 month ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Comment
1
Al Nayyir silks
Al Nayyir
Age 8 · 9-4
23-132
113
102
113OR
8
9-4
100/1 66/1 100/1
Consistent stayer who ran his race when a close second in a Group 2 at York last time, and the first-time hood could sharpen him up further — but he arrives as a recent Group winner in Dubai with a bit to find on these terms at the weights.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 102 and inconsistent form (23-132) at 9-4 weight make Al Nayyir an unconvincing Gold Cup contender.

2
Al Riffa silks
Al Riffa
Age 6 · 9-4
174-63
120
105
120OR
6
9-4
15/2 8/1 15/2
Third in a Group 1 on its latest outing, this three-time top-level scorer has shown admirable consistency at the highest level, though its campaign this spring has revealed the ceiling of its ability; first-time cheekpieces and a step back up in trip could help, but it faces a stiff ask off 130 lb.
AI verdict

Rated just 105 with inconsistent form (174-63) and carrying 9-4, Al Riffa lacks the market confidence for a Group 1 Gold Cup.

3
Caballo De Mar silks
Caballo De Mar
Age 5 · 9-4
17-221
115
107
115OR
5
9-4
15/2 9/1 7/1
Caballo De Mar brings genuine G1 class to the plate — a dual top-level winner who last scored by a whisker at Longchamp — but first-time headgear and a 130 lb burden are questions to answer, even for a thorough stayer proven on today's going.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 107 and inconsistent form (17-221) leave Caballo De Mar well below Group 1 standard at 9-4 weight.

4
Dubai Future silks
Dubai Future
Age 10 · 9-4
66-841
113
99
113OR
10
9-4
50/1 50/1 40/1
Dubai Future bounced back with a narrow Henry II Stakes win 21 days ago, though that came in a race run at a crawl, letting him sprint past tiring rivals — a stronger renewal here makes life harder, and first-time cheekpieces plus a 130 lb burden do little to aid his cause as our 11th-ranked runner.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 99 and form reading 66-841 at 9-4 weight makes Dubai Future unconvincing in Group 1 company.

5
Sweet William silks
Sweet William
Age 7 · 9-4
212-12
117
108
117OR
7
9-4
10/1 14/1 17/2
Beaten a neck in a Group 3 last time on ground that didn't fully test him, Sweet William arrives 21 days fresh, sporting first-time headgear and carrying 130 lb, with a yard that landed this prize 12 months ago; the risk is that he's had the better of few rivals here in the past.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 108 and inconsistent form (212-12) leave Sweet William below Gold Cup standard at 9-4.

6
Trawlerman silks
Trawlerman
Age 8 · 9-4
51111-
121
112
121OR
8
9-4
11/4 7/2 11/4
Trawlerman won this race last year and boasts an excellent record fresh at this venue, so the 243-day absence shouldn't be an issue; a dual G1 winner carrying 130 lb in first-time headgear, he's the clear one to beat on a rating of 134.
AI verdict

Trawlerman's Saturday Rating of 112 and form collapse from a winning streak make him unconvincing at 9-4 weight in Group 1.

7
Carmers silks
Carmers
Age 4 · 9-3
125-51
W J Lee 14%
P Twomey 24%
112
101
112OR
4
9-3
20/1 18/1 20/1
Landed a conditions race at Down Royal by two and a quarter lengths on latest start — arguably a career-best — and steps up to 2m at a meeting where he won the Queen's Vase last year; trainer in form too. First-time visor adds a slight unknown, but he clearly handles this trip and going.
AI verdict

Carmers rated just 101 with inconsistent form (125-51) and carrying 9-3 makes this a weak Group 1 contender.

8
Furthur silks
Furthur
Age 4 · 9-3
160-46
109
90
109OR
4
9-3
66/1 66/1 50/1
Beaten five lengths over an inadequate trip last time out and now stepping up further in distance despite stamina doubts, Furthur looks out of its depth here — though the trainer knows this course well and the horse handles today's going.
AI verdict

Furthur's Saturday Rating of 90 and patchy form figures of 160-46 make this 9-3 weight assignment hard to justify against Group 1 rivals.

9
Rahiebb silks
Rahiebb
Age 4 · 9-3
2342-1
116
108
116OR
4
9-3
6/1 4/1 6/1
Rahiebb arrives in fine shape after a convincing Yorkshire Cup victory 34 days ago, surging clear over 14 furlongs in game style at a Group 2 level, and has clearly progressed into a stronger animal — the main caveat is that he ideally wants a sound surface, so today's going bears watching.
AI verdict

Rahiebb's Saturday Rating of 108 and inconsistent 2342-1 form make him uncompetitive at 9-3 in this Group 1.

10
Scandinavia silks
Scandinavia
Age 4 · 9-3
111-11
117
109
117OR
4
9-3
2/1 31/19 2/1
Five straight wins including the St Leger and Goodwood Cup, and Scandinavia returned from a 34-day break to land a Group 3 at Leopardstown last time — a progressive, top-class stayer who handles today's going and has the trainer firing. First-time cheekpieces and a burden of 129 lb are the chief concerns.
AI verdict

Consistent 111-11 form and a Saturday Rating of 109 are offset by 9-3 weight in this Group 1.

11
Miss Alpilles silks
Miss Alpilles
Age 5 · 9-1
211-32
100
94
100OR
5
9-1
80/1 100/1 66/1
Beaten only 1¼ lengths in a Group 3 last time, Miss Alpilles shaped as though crying out for a stiffer test than 14f, and she stays 2m well on any ground — both points in her favour here. Ranked 10 of 11 on our figures, though, she faces a stiff ask.
AI verdict

Rated just 94 with inconsistent form (211-32) and carrying 9-1 weight, Miss Alpilles lacks the market confidence for this Group 1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Al Nayyir 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 Bet365
2 Al Riffa 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 8/1 William Hill
3 Caballo De Mar 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 Betfred
4 Dubai Future 50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365
5 Sweet William 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 Betfred
6 Trawlerman 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 William Hill
7 Carmers 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
8 Furthur 66/1 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 66/1 66/1 Bet365
9 Rahiebb 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
10 Scandinavia 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.63 9/4 William Hill
11 Miss Alpilles 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 101.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Scandinavia

Live signal

Scandinavia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Trawlerman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Al Nayyir

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Tom Clover
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Scandinavia
60.7 2/1
2 6. Trawlerman
60.2 11/4
3 3. Caballo De Mar
59.8 15/2
4 5. Sweet William
58.4 10/1
5 9. Rahiebb
56.9 6/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting closed

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🦊 Mr Fox
Kalpana
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Scandinavia
Three-way split

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 4 · 9-3
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

Consistent 111-11 form and a Saturday Rating of 109 are offset by 9-3 weight in this Group 1.

6
Age 8 · 9-4
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 112 🐾

Trawlerman's Saturday Rating of 112 and form collapse from a winning streak make him unconvincing at 9-4 weight in Group 1.

9
Age 4 · 9-3
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

Rahiebb's Saturday Rating of 108 and inconsistent 2342-1 form make him uncompetitive at 9-3 in this Group 1.

2
Age 6 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 105 🐾

Rated just 105 with inconsistent form (174-63) and carrying 9-4, Al Riffa lacks the market confidence for a Group 1 Gold Cup.

3
Age 5 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 107 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 107 and inconsistent form (17-221) leave Caballo De Mar well below Group 1 standard at 9-4 weight.

5
Age 7 · 9-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 108 and inconsistent form (212-12) leave Sweet William below Gold Cup standard at 9-4.

7
Age 4 · 9-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

Carmers rated just 101 with inconsistent form (125-51) and carrying 9-3 makes this a weak Group 1 contender.

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Scandinavia

Scandinavia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

ChatGPT
Trawlerman

Trawlerman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Favourite Focus lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

Gemini
Al Nayyir

Al Nayyir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Value Hunter lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (0). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile is live enough to win even with more instability in the simulation.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionKalpanaFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

🗺 The Course Class 1

2m3f210y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade