Ascot 14:30 RESULTED
Class 1 20 Jun 2026

Saturday 20 June Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)

Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) · 5f

Official Result

Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Orthodox (GB) Rossa Ryan · Clive Cox
    9/2
  2. 150/1
  3. Third Mussab (GB)
    66/1
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Settled
  • 21 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 month ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Agamemnon silks
Agamemnon
Age 2 · 9-3
61
126
2
9-3
33/1 25/1 28/1
Bolted up in a novice at Wolverhampton last time by three lengths, but that form needs boosting further as this is a significant step up in class; bred for speed and effective at today's trip, but ranked 18th of 21 on our figures, making this a tough ask from stall 1.
AI verdict

Agamemnon's solid Saturday Rating of 126 is undermined by weak 61 form and 25/1 odds showing little market confidence.

2
Blake's Monarch silks
Blake's Monarch
Age 2 · 9-3
26
128
2
9-3
150/1 FCST 125/1
Winless in recent starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Blake's Monarch looks out of its depth stepping up in class here, despite showing fair form on turf debut at Chester 21 days ago and proven effectiveness at the trip on good ground.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 128 and 100/1 odds reflect weak form figures of 26 with no market support.

3
Carry The Flag silks
Carry The Flag
Age 2 · 9-3
212
156
2
9-3
5/2 2/1 5/2
Carry The Flag arrives here on the back of a fine Group 3 second at The Curragh, beaten just a length and a quarter while stepping up in class and showing sharp early pace; a big, strong type with a top jockey aboard, the five furlongs here may actually bring out the best in this high-class prospect.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 156, consistent 212 form, and 5/2 market support at 9-3 weight justify four stars.

4
El Floridita silks
El Floridita
Age 2 · 9-3
51
129
2
9-3
125/1 80/1 125/1
Showed improved form when taking a maiden at Redcar last time, but that win came with caveats and this represents a sharp step up in grade for a recent purchase. Drawn 8, handles today's trip and conditions, yet ranks 16th of 21 on our figures — hard to get excited.
AI verdict

Rated 129 but 100/1 odds and weak form figures of 51 undermine confidence despite carrying 9-3.

5
Flight Signal silks
Flight Signal
Age 2 · 9-3
1
151
2
9-3
10/1 6/1 10/1
Burst clear by three-and-a-quarter lengths on debut at Bath, Flight Signal looks a promising type who acts on this going and trip, though stepping up sharply in class from a novice on just one start is the obvious query at a mark of 129lb from stall 6.
AI verdict

Rated 151 with winning form but unfancied at 15/2 and carrying 9-3 limits confidence to three stars.

6
Force Noir silks
Force Noir
Age 2 · 9-3
21
150
2
9-3
9/1 12/1 8/1
Blinkers fitted for the first time as Force Noir returns after a 54-day break, and that Naas maiden win — striding clear by 4¼ lengths on better ground — showed a willing attitude with more to come; the trip and track look suitable, though stall 19 and 129 lb are worth noting.
AI verdict

Rated 150 with solid 21 form, Force Noir's 11/1 odds and non-favourite status at 9-3 limit confidence to three stars.

7
Mr Macartney silks
Mr Macartney
Age 2 · 9-3
4176
125
2
9-3
100/1 FCST 80/1
Beaten two lengths in a Listed contest at Sandown 23 days ago, Mr Macartney has course-and-distance form to his name and steps up in trip wearing a visor for the first time, which could unlock improvement — though his recent sixth and seventh suggest he's yet to recapture that winning thread.
AI verdict

Outsider odds of 100/1 and inconsistent form (4176) undermine his 125 Saturday Rating, limiting confidence to 3 stars.

8
Mussab silks
Mussab
Age 2 · 9-3
3
126
2
9-3
66/1 40/1 66/1
Shaped with promise on debut, finishing third beaten just 1¼ lengths at York in novice company, and Mussab clearly handles today's trip and good ground well enough — but the step up in class is a concern, and greenness under pressure could be costly again from stall 14.
AI verdict

Long-shot odds of 50/1, a single form figure of 3, and a 126 Saturday Rating indicate limited winning claims.

9
New Yorker silks
New Yorker
Age 2 · 9-3
134
130
2
9-3
66/1 20/1 66/1
Hooded for the first time and steadily building through recent starts, but ranked 15th of 21 on our figures and the speed rating of 33 makes this a tough ask; sprint-bred and effective over today's trip on good ground, though this looks a step too far at present.
AI verdict

Long-shot odds of 28/1 and inconsistent form (134) limit confidence despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 130.

10
Orthodox silks
Orthodox
Age 2 · 9-3
1
151
2
9-3
8/1 5/1 8/1
Impressive on debut, winning a Salisbury maiden by 2½ lengths on good ground over today's trip, but that's just one run to go on; bred for speed and thought highly of, though stall 16 and a 37-day absence from a lightly raced sort introduce some uncertainty.
AI verdict

Rated 151 with winning form but 13/2 odds and 9-3 weight suggest market lacks strong confidence.

11
Persian Spring silks
Persian Spring
Age 2 · 9-3
51
131
2
9-3
33/1
Successful over today's trip and going when landing a York novice last time out, Persian Spring enters from stall 10 carrying 129 lb, though the step back in distance raises a question — better may yet come, but the trip could blunt that progress.
AI verdict

Sent off at 33/1 with limited form of 51 and a Saturday Rating of 131, Persian Spring lacks market confidence.

12
Savage Mariner silks
Savage Mariner
Age 2 · 9-3
2
143
2
9-3
11/1 40/1 10/1
Shaped with promise on debut, going down by just 1½ lengths at Leicester, and the step back to 6f looks a natural fit — though the drop in trip isn't guaranteed to unlock improvement. Carries 129 lb from stall 20 yet to score, but there's potential here.
AI verdict

Priced at 14/1 with form showing just one run (2), Savage Mariner's Saturday Rating of 143 suggests potential but market confidence is lacking.

13
Social Symbol silks
Social Symbol
Age 2 · 9-3
1
132
2
9-3
25/1 33/1 22/1
Sole start produced a half-length debut win at Ripon 17 days ago — form since franked and scope for improvement stepping up in class, but ranked 19th of 21 on our figures here, making this a significant jump from novice company at stall 18 carrying 129 lb.
AI verdict

Long odds of 25/1 and a single form figure limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 132.

14
Sovereign Glory silks
Sovereign Glory
Age 2 · 9-3
31
132
2
9-3
100/1 50/1 100/1
Beaten on debut before getting off the mark in a Bath novice last time — overcoming a slow start and trouble in running to score by 2½l — Sovereign Glory arrives 39 days later with a case for progressing further, and the 5-6f trip on fast ground suits; but ranked 20 of 21 on our figures, stall 17 and 129lb make this a tough ask.
AI verdict

Rated 132 but starting at 50/1 with form showing only one win suggests market scepticism limits confidence despite solid weight of 9-3.

15
Star Prospect silks
Star Prospect
Age 2 · 9-3
13
149
2
9-3
9/1 10/1 8/1
Bounced back to win before finishing a staying-on third at Naas last time, Star Prospect looks to have more improvement in the locker and takes well to this trip and varied ground; the 129 lb burden from stall 7 is the one query.
AI verdict

Rated 149 with 10/1 odds and inconsistent 1-3 form, Star Prospect lacks favourite market backing to justify higher stars.

16
Tribeca silks
Tribeca
Age 2 · 9-3
1
145
2
9-3
25/1 10/1 25/1
Tribeca took his debut maiden at Navan in authoritative fashion, always holding sway throughout, but returns here after 56 days off and faces a step up in class; effective at today's trip and suited by sounder ground, this promising colt has the tools but remains unexposed.
AI verdict

Tribeca's single win in form and 12/1 odds signal market skepticism despite a competitive 145 Saturday Rating.

17
Underdog silks
Underdog
Age 2 · 9-3
1
130
2
9-3
33/1 25/1 28/1
Debut winner at Sandown, beating more experienced rivals with a sharp turn of foot, but stepping up considerably in class here and our figures rank it 17th of 21; the in-form trainer and speedy pedigree offer slim encouragement, yet this looks a tough ask on ratings.
AI verdict

Underdog's winning form and strong 130 Saturday Rating offset by 28/1 odds suggesting market scepticism limits confidence to 3/5.

18
Where Love Lives silks
Where Love Lives
Age 2 · 9-3
11
151
2
9-3
12/1
Twice a winner in its last two starts, Where Love Lives is a big, powerful type still maturing and looks to have more improvement in the locker after taking Listed honours at Sandown last time; the slight hesitation before finding top gear is the one concern to keep in mind.
AI verdict

Unbeaten form and a powerful 151 Saturday Rating justify the 4-star rating despite 12/1 odds.

19
Ez Tina silks
Ez Tina
Age 2 · 9-0
1
153
2
9-0
8/1 17/2 8/1
Showed plenty of pace when winning by five lengths on debut at Woodbine, and the step into this 21-runner field from stall 3 is a neutral factor; first-time blinkers could sharpen the focus, though whether she sees out the trip under 126 lb remains the key question.
AI verdict

Strong 153 Saturday Rating and winning form justify 4 stars despite 15/2 odds suggesting market has reservations.

20
Fanshell Beach silks
Fanshell Beach
Age 2 · 9-0
1
132
2
9-0
14/1 20/1 11/1
Impressive on debut at Churchill Downs — winning by 5¼ lengths despite a slow start — Fanshell Beach arrives from stall 11 carrying 126 lb with first-time blinkers as the stable's second string, and while our rating of 115 underlines the form, stamina for this longer trip remains the key question.
AI verdict

Despite a strong Saturday Rating of 132 and winning form, 25/1 outsider odds signal weak market confidence warranting only 3 stars.

21
Through The Years silks
Through The Years
Age 2 · 9-0
21
141
2
9-0
14/1 28/1 14/1
Backed up a debut run with a convincing Fillies & Mares victory at Belmont last time, and acts well on firm ground, but stable form has taken a few knocks this week and first-time blinkers add an element of the unknown for this stall-15 runner.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 141 and solid form figures of 21 are undermined by 20/1 odds suggesting the market holds little confidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Agamemnon 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
2 Blake's Monarch 150/1 125/1 open 151.00 125/1 open 151.00 150/1 125/1 150/1 Bet365
3 Carry The Flag 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 11/4 William Hill
4 El Floridita 125/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 81.00 125/1 open 81.00 150/1 Coral
5 Flight Signal 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 7.00 12/1 William Hill
6 Force Noir 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 Coral
7 Mr Macartney 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 80/1 100/1 Bet365
8 Mussab 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 Coral
9 New Yorker 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 Bet365
10 Orthodox 8/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 Coral
11 Persian Spring 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 Bet365
12 Savage Mariner 11/1 open 41.00 11/1 open 41.00 11/1 open 41.00 10/1 open 51.00 11/1 open 41.00 11/1 Bet365
13 Social Symbol 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
14 Sovereign Glory 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 51.00 125/1 Coral
15 Star Prospect 9/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
16 Tribeca 25/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 11.00 33/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 11.00 33/1 Coral
17 Underdog 33/1 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
18 Where Love Lives 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 William Hill
19 Ez Tina 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 Bet365
20 Fanshell Beach 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 16/1 Coral
21 Through The Years 14/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Carry The Flag

Live signal

Carry The Flag owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Flight Signal

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Archie Watson
✓ Value Signal

Social Symbol

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Carry The Flag
68.7 5/2
2 5. Flight Signal
68.6 10/1
3 19. Ez Tina
68.5 8/1
4 10. Orthodox
68.3 8/1
5 18. Where Love Lives
66.3 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Carry The Flag
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-3
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 156, consistent 212 form, and 5/2 market support at 9-3 weight justify four stars.

10
Age 2 · 9-3
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

Rated 151 with winning form but 13/2 odds and 9-3 weight suggest market lacks strong confidence.

19
Age 2 · 9-0
8/1
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Strong 153 Saturday Rating and winning form justify 4 stars despite 15/2 odds suggesting market has reservations.

6
Age 2 · 9-3
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 150 🐾

Rated 150 with solid 21 form, Force Noir's 11/1 odds and non-favourite status at 9-3 limit confidence to three stars.

15
Age 2 · 9-3
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 149 🐾

Rated 149 with 10/1 odds and inconsistent 1-3 form, Star Prospect lacks favourite market backing to justify higher stars.

5
Age 2 · 9-3
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

Rated 151 with winning form but unfancied at 15/2 and carrying 9-3 limits confidence to three stars.

12
Age 2 · 9-3
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾

Priced at 14/1 with form showing just one run (2), Savage Mariner's Saturday Rating of 143 suggests potential but market confidence is lacking.

18
Age 2 · 9-3
12/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Unbeaten form and a powerful 151 Saturday Rating justify the 4-star rating despite 12/1 odds.

20
Age 2 · 9-0
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 132 🐾

Despite a strong Saturday Rating of 132 and winning form, 25/1 outsider odds signal weak market confidence warranting only 3 stars.

21
Age 2 · 9-0
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 141 and solid form figures of 21 are undermined by 20/1 odds suggesting the market holds little confidence.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Carry The Flag
Confidence: Medium

Carry The Flag (SR 156, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and the only runner to have already competed at Group level, with a form line of 212 showing consistent front-rank performances including a win. At 5/2, the market is strongly aligned with the rating — this is not a drifter but a confirmed favourite with form to justify it. The 5f Good to Firm conditions at Ascot suit a sharp A P O'Brien juvenile trained specifically for Royal Ascot targets, and the 9-3 weight is uniform across all colts so there is no penalty disadvantage. The 2-1-2 form sequence at the highest class in this field represents the best class-adjusted form line on show. Each-way alternative: Ez Tina. Main danger: Ez Tina — Ez Tina (SR 153, 15/2) carries the filly's allowance at 9-0 — a 3lb advantage over the colts — is trained by Wesley Ward who has an outstanding Royal Ascot record with US-bred speedsters on Good to Firm, and an unbeaten form figure of '1' suggests she has not yet been extended; if Ward has timed her preparation to peak here, she is capable of turning over the favourite.

Shortlist Carry The Flag, Ez Tina, Flight Signal, Orthodox, Where Love Lives
Each-way: Ez Tina Danger: Ez Tina

🗺 The Course Class 1

5f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
21 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade