Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (GBBPlus Race) · 2m5f143y
Solid recent form of /3-221 and a competitive 115 Saturday Rating are tempered by unfavoured market position at 6/1.
Rated 100 at 12/1 with mixed form (1-0116) and 9-4 weight places Berkshire Sundance as a mid-tier contender outside market favouritism.
Carlton's 100/1 odds and modest Saturday Rating of 70 signal minimal market confidence despite a mixed 1-2154 form.
Rated 109 with solid form but not the market leader at 6/1 carrying 9-4, Columbus shows enough class without dominating.
A Saturday Rating of 85 and inconsistent form figures of 233254 at 22/1 suggest little winning chance against stronger rivals.
Solid 114 Saturday Rating and fair 11/2 odds are offset by inconsistent form (150-35) and non-favourite market position.
Outsider odds of 80/1, a poor Saturday Rating of 70, and uninspiring form of 4630-7 highlight a limited winning chance.
Illinois carries top weight of 9-4 at 3/1 with a solid Saturday Rating of 118, though patchy form of 227-36 prevents a fifth star.
Solid 109 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds, but inconsistent form of 51/2/3 and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Outsider odds of 22/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 85, and inconsistent form figures of 3434-2 suggest limited winning prospects.
Rated just 81 with outdated form showing a recent fifth, Mr Hollywood's 20/1 odds reflect weak market confidence at 9-4.
Massive 200/1 odds, poor Saturday Rating of 62, and inconsistent form of 255-19 highlight Aajej as a rank outsider.
Extreme outsider at 250/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 43 and dismal form reading 7985-7 combines to make Pivotal Days a hopeless contender.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 A Piece Of Heaven | 9/2 open 8.50 | — | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Berkshire Sundance | 12/1 open 19.00 | — | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Carlton | 150/1 open 101.00 | — | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Columbus | 10/1 open 7.00 | — | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 5 Dallas Star | 50/1 open 21.00 | — | 66/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 19.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 Coral |
| 6 French Master | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Hipop De Loire | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Illinois | 2/1 open 5.00 | — | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Le Destrier | 4/1 open 3.25 | — | 4/1 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 9/2 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 3.25 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 10 Maxi King | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 William Hill |
| 11 Mr Hollywood | 25/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Aajej | 300/1 open 201.00 | — | 250/1 open 151.00 | 250/1 open 101.00 | 250/1 open 201.00 | 250/1 open 151.00 | 300/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Pivotal Days | 300/1 open 251.00 | — | 250/1 open 201.00 | 250/1 | 250/1 | 250/1 | 300/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Illinois owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalIllinois carries top weight of 9-4 at 3/1 with a solid Saturday Rating of 118, though patchy form of 227-36 prevents a fifth star.
Solid 109 Saturday Rating and fair 11/4 odds, but inconsistent form of 51/2/3 and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Solid recent form of /3-221 and a competitive 115 Saturday Rating are tempered by unfavoured market position at 6/1.
Solid 114 Saturday Rating and fair 11/2 odds are offset by inconsistent form (150-35) and non-favourite market position.
Rated 109 with solid form but not the market leader at 6/1 carrying 9-4, Columbus shows enough class without dominating.
Rated 100 at 12/1 with mixed form (1-0116) and 9-4 weight places Berkshire Sundance as a mid-tier contender outside market favouritism.
Outsider odds of 22/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 85, and inconsistent form figures of 3434-2 suggest limited winning prospects.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Illinois (SR 118, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries the strongest market confidence, shortening to clear favouritism at 3/1 with a four-star AI probability rating. At five years old, the A P O'Brien yard regularly targets marathon conditions races at Royal Ascot with well-prepared stayers, and the good-to-firm ground at 2m5f143y suits a horse of this profile. The form string 227-36 shows consistent mid-field finishes at likely higher class, and a conditions race at this trip removes the weight-for-age complexities that can compromise form reading. Le Destrier (SR 109, 11/4) is the market's alternative and must be respected, but Illinois's SR advantage of nine points alongside stronger trainer firepower tilts the balance. Each-way alternative: Le Destrier. Main danger: Le Destrier — Le Destrier (SR 109, 11/4) is actually trading tighter than Illinois in morning markets suggesting bookmaker respect, and the W P Mullins yard has a strong record targeting this exact race with a fresh stayer — the 51/2/3 form string shows he handles varied conditions and returns well from breaks.