Trainer out of form at 4% strike rate over the last fortnight, and Be Frank has produced five consecutive well-beaten efforts — prominent at Chester last time but never landing a blow, beaten five-and-a-half lengths. Acts over 7f to a mile on a sound surface and has a workable mark if returning to something like her better level.
Second at Ayr five days ago off the same mark, Mr Lincoln ran solidly but appeared to find the flat mile insufficient on stamina grounds. Acts on soft and good from up to 13f; yet to win in recent starts but placed form is consistent and he will not be far away.
Seventh last time off 86 — 1lb higher than today — Persuasion ran to her level and the switch back to a mile is a genuine positive given her 7f profile; acts on any ground. The main risk is that she has been below her best in recent starts and needs to recapture earlier form.
Form last 6-76167
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a weak Saturday Rating of 69, a poor recent form of -76167, and dismissed by the market at 18/1, Persuasion offers minimal winning appeal.
Found wanting over 10f last time when sixth at the top of the weights, Lexington Jet drops to a more suitable trip here and clearly enjoys getting out in front; three wins in his last six on good and AW. Our figures rank him fourteenth, though, and the drop back to preferred conditions is the main selling point.
Form last 6171016
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR—RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Lexington Jet's 16/1 odds, modest 78 Saturday Rating, and inconsistent form figures of 171016 make this a low-confidence selection.
Keen and raced off the pace last time at York where she ran down the field, Billyb is usually held up and needs things to unfold more favourably here; effective from 7-10f, acts on a range of surfaces. A clear rebound from that effort is required and she gets first-time cheekpieces.
Form last 651-870
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Billyb's poor form (51-870), high weight of 10-1, and weak 14/1 odds reflect a Saturday Rating of just 73.
Previously in fine shape with three placings from four starts, Altareq was well below par when well beaten at York most recently — unable to get into the race from off the pace. A top jockey and prior form over a mile on a sound surface give him strong credentials if that run is discounted.
Form last 632-330
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR—RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a moderate form figure of 32-330 and a Saturday Rating of 87 limits Altareq's appeal at 9/2.
Landed a 7-8f handicap at Carlisle last time with authority off a 3lb lower mark, finishing well under pressure — Priapos has two wins in his last five starts and handles any ground. The yard is in good heart and first-time cheekpieces add interest; stepping up 3lb is the only reservation.
Form last 612-741
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight 9-12 with patchy form 12-741 and a Saturday Rating of 88 limits Priapos to mid-market 13/2 contention.
Fourth at Newmarket last time off a mark just 1lb lower than today's, Canvas ran to her level on a sound surface over 8f and is capable of a decent effort here. Our figures place her fifteenth of seventeen, however, and she needs considerably more to reach the frame in a competitive field.
Form last 67170-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Canvas carries top weight of 9-11 with a Saturday Rating of 81 and patchy form of 7170-4 at 7/1, limiting confidence to three stars.
Carrying a hood for the first time and having been keen and unable to see out the trip last time at the same mark as today, Glenfinnan needs a cleaner race here; still weighted competitively on earlier form and handles soft and good to firm. A big unknown with the new headgear.
Form last 6-07719
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR—RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Glenfinnan's poor recent form of -07719, high weight of 9-10, and 11/1 odds signal limited winning chances with a Saturday Rating of just 76.
Away 210 days — a lengthy absence — and having been far too keen in the early stages last time, Vixey faces a stiff task on her return. Acts over 7f on a sound surface and not soft; our figures rank her last of seventeen and a bounce-back from that effort is essential.
Form last 621335-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 20/1 and a modest Saturday Rating of 68 reflect limited market confidence despite solid recent form.
First-time cheekpieces and a solid third last time over today's distance and going — Naples is effective from a mile to 10f on heavy and good. Not without a shout in a wide-open field, though our figures have her ranked fifth overall.
Form last 621-053
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 68 with weak 21-053 form and sent off a 20/1 outsider carrying 9-9, Naples shows little market confidence.
Keen and unable to see out the mile at Thirsk eight days ago, Degale has a patchy recent record and is yet to win in her last five starts; acts at 8f on a sound surface. Our figures rank her sixteenth here and a run close to her very best is needed just to figure.
Form last 6-60305
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Degale's poor form (-60305), weak Saturday Rating of 62, and 18/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects despite carrying 9-8.
Off the track for 117 days, Enola Grey returns from a break with the bulk of her better form coming on the AW; she handles today's distance and going but this is turf after a long absence. A return to form is entirely possible with fitness on her side.
Form last 651-556
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Low Saturday Rating of 59, weak form (51-556), and 20/1 odds signal market lacks confidence in this 9-8 weighted runner.
A pattern of consistent placings in recent outings — placed five times in five starts without adding to her tally — Swift Salian held her level at Nottingham last time off the same mark as today; effective from 8-9f on any surface. A reliable yardstick who needs a slice of luck to get her head in front.
Form last 624-222
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Consistent form of 24-222 and a competitive Saturday Rating of 77 are undermined by 10/1 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
Leadenhall took two wins from his last five starts, landing a tight finish at Nottingham just four days ago off the same mark here — running keenly but finishing well under a positive ride. A top trainer here at Carlisle, no penalty to carry, and a claiming jockey: the one to beat at the weights.
Form last 6-57161
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a Saturday Rating of 83 and inconsistent form of -57161 limits confidence despite fair 13/2 odds.
Held up and needing pace to target, Rajapour wore too much ground off at Wetherby last time in first-time combined headgear; effective around 8-9f on any going. Our figures rank her thirteenth, and she needs a strong gallop and the gear to spark the improvement required.
Form last 6824336
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR—RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rajapour's 73 Saturday Rating, weak 824336 form, and 12/1 odds indicate limited market confidence at 9-5 weight.
Blinkers on for the first time and a trainer in good form — Financer is a generally consistent type who ran to her level at York last time off a 2lb higher mark than today's; suits 9-10f on any ground. Yet to win in recent starts but rated our second-best horse in the race.
Form last 60-4045
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Financer's poor form (0-4045), low Saturday Rating of 72, and 9/1 odds signal limited winning prospects at 9-4.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Leadenhall owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1T D EasterbyJake Dickson
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Financer
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · T D Easterby✓ Value Signal
Persuasion
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · T D Barron◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Priapos (SR 88, 13/2, 9-12) posts the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Altareq but carries 2lb less than that rival, giving a meaningful weight edge in a competitive handicap on Good to Firm ground where every pound counts. His form string 12-741 shows a recent winning run — the rightmost '1' confirms a last-time-out victory — and a 4yo with that recency of success travelling to a 7f173y trip is a very workable profile. Trainer Phillip Makin has a solid strike-rate with lightly-weighted 4yo handicappers and the market at 13/2 represents fair value rather than an overlooked price. The combination of top SR, favourable weight relative to the co-rated rival, and confirmed winning form on a comparable trip makes this the most defensible pick in the race.
Each-way alternative: Leadenhall.
Main danger: Altareq — Altareq (SR 87, 9/2, 10-0) is the market co-favourite with the equal-top SR, and while he carries 2lb more than Priapos, the tightening price from an opening 5/1 suggests stable confidence and his 32-330 form line shows consistent placement at this level.