A Pinatubo gelding by a dam smart at 8f, Brazilian Blitz is a half-brother to a useful 12f performer; a tough enough opening on debut for the yard, which is not in peak form at present, and it is hard to form a strong view, though the pedigree mix is intriguing.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
135SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 16/1 and unknown form make Brazilian Blitz an unconvincing 135-rated outsider carrying 9-7.
Held to a similar level on second start as first when beaten comfortably at Hamilton last time, Dakota Brave is bred for a bit further than today and has all to prove; yet to score and needs to step forward significantly, though there could be more to come.
Form last 665
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Moderate Saturday Rating of 150, weak form figures of 65, and 6/1 odds suggest Dakota Brave holds fair but unspectacular claims.
Ran keen and was below debut level at Leicester last time at 7f, Mottaret is middle-distance bred and the drop to 6f should help; yet to score, and while a relaxation of tactics over the shorter trip could unlock improvement, needs more time to develop.
Form last 644
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR—RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mottaret's mid-range Saturday Rating of 71, consistent form figures of 44, and second-favourite market position at 5/2 suggest a competitive but unspectacular contender.
Beaten eight lengths at Carlisle last time to a moderate standard, Peggy's Lad needs improvement and others are preferred on available evidence; yet to score and the scope for progress is uncertain.
Form last 608
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
135SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 16/1, poor form figures of 08, and a Saturday Rating of 135 make Peggy's Lad a weak outsider.
A Gleneagles colt with a tough enough task on debut — connections themselves concede this is not the easiest introduction; bred for a bit further eventually, the pedigree is modest at this trip and a market check is needed before committing.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
140SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Therewearethen's solid Saturday Rating of 140 at 12/1 odds suggests fair value, but non-favourite status limits confidence.
An Arizona filly related to a smart 5f performer and out of a dam useful at 6f, Black Fury makes her debut here; a tough enough first assignment and others are preferred, yet to score and debut form is unknown.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
149SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mid-range Saturday Rating of 149 and 6/1 odds suggest decent but unproven ability with unknown form limiting confidence.
Fourth at Carlisle last time in first-time blinkers, Bluestone Lady failed to get into contention from off the pace despite finishing on; best at 5-6f and a step up to 7f tests stamina — trainer is in form and the headgear stays on — the profile makes this the most interesting runner here and the one to beat.
Form last 686264
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Bluestone Lady's inconsistent form (86264) and mid-range Saturday Rating of 64 at 3/1 suggest fair prospects without standout claims.
Ran keen and finished well beaten on debut at Beverley, Bollin Marsha needs a major improvement to feature; yet to score and the debut effort gives little confidence.
Form last 68
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-shot odds of 40/1, a poor form figure of 8, and a low Saturday Rating of 127 signal minimal winning prospects.
An unexposed Space Traveller filly related to a useful 8f performer, Floristic makes her debut from a yard that has landed this type of contest in each of the past two years; hard to see this runner winning on first appearance but connections have strong claims and she deserves market respect.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
150SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Floristic rates 3/5 with a solid Saturday Rating of 150 at 5/1, but unknown form and non-favourite market position limit confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dakota Brave owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2C JohnstonJason Hart
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Floristic
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · J Butler✓ Value Signal
Bollin Marsha
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · T D Easterby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mottaret's mid-range Saturday Rating of 71, consistent form figures of 44, and second-favourite market position at 5/2 suggest a competitive but unspectacular contender.
Dakota Brave (SR 150, 6/1, 9-7) matches Floristic on the top SR in the field but carries 5lb more than Floristic — offset by a meaningful form advantage: the form string '65' shows two runs at 7f with progression, giving confidence this horse handles today's trip on Good to Soft. The C Johnston yard is consistently competitive with second-run two-year-olds who have learned from their debut, and a 6/1 price in a maiden of this modest quality represents fair value without suggesting market desertion. Critically, the three highest-SR unexposed runners (Floristic, Black Fury, Therewearethen) are all debutants; Dakota Brave's race experience and SR 150 ceiling give a real edge in a race where inexperience could be decisive on testing ground.
Each-way alternative: Floristic.
Main danger: Floristic — Floristic (SR 150, 5/1, 9-2) carries 5lb less than Dakota Brave on identical SR and is trained by J Butler who has form with lightly-raced juveniles; a clean debut on Good to Soft at 7f could see this filly run straight past the field.