Persistent jumping errors and inconsistency make him a difficult proposition, and he burned himself out too soon at Ballinrobe last time. The trip and going pose no problems, but he's ranked bottom of this field on our figures.
Form last 60P1P-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
111SR—RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with inconsistent form (0P1P-5) and unfancied at 12/1, Blizzard Of Oz's Saturday Rating of 111 offers little confidence.
Third on our ratings and carrying a mark that flatters on his best form, but inconsistency has been his downfall — a succession of jumping errors at Haydock last time left him well beaten. The trip and ground suit, and he's a threat if he settles and jumps cleanly.
Form last 6/37P-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
105SR—RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Poor form figures of /37P-0, a 14/1 outsider rating, and a Saturday Rating of 105 make Bold Endeavour unconvincing at 11-7.
Back to form last time, winning off a reduced mark at Market Rasen with nothing to spare; still well placed on his best form despite the 4lb rise, and first-time cheekpieces are a positive addition. The main query is whether he'll see out this longer trip.
Form last 668P5-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
124SR—RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Recent win lifts Saturday Rating to 124, but 11-5 weight and 7/2 odds suggest the market respects yet doesn't fully trust the 68P5-1 form.
Front-runner who thrives when allowed to control his own pace, and he bolted up by 13 lengths at Newton Abbot last time off a reduced mark; still on a manageable figure, with distance and going well established. The step back up in class is the key test.
Form last 6324-51
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
120SR—RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 120 and consistent form of 324-51 at 11-4 weight offer each-way appeal at 15/2.
Second on our ratings and well rated against his best Irish form, with connections having been successful in this race last year; probably found the trip a stretch at Sandown most recently. Consistent form on a sound surface would make him a serious threat.
Form last 6P22P8-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR—RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 96 and weak form reading P22P8- make 18/1 outsider Gabbys Cross an unconvincing market proposition.
Front-running style suits this trip and surface, and the mark remains achievable on earlier form, but she pulled up at Cartmel last time; twin headgear changes — first-time blinkers and tongue-tie — signal connections trying a new approach, and she needs to rediscover recent consistency.
Form last 60-223P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR121OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 114 and consistent placed form offset by a concerning last-run P and 8/1 market position.
Back to form at Worcester last time, winning by 3 lengths off a reduced mark and confirming his stamina for this kind of trip; still generously weighted against his best form, and first-time tongue-tie is a small addition. The step up in class after a quick turnaround is the main risk.
Form last 6UP5-51
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-12 with a Saturday Rating of 114 and inconsistent form of UP5-51 limits confidence despite fair 9/2 odds.
Coasted home by 11 lengths at Newton Abbot last time, clearly flourishing with the step up in trip; retains a fair mark on her best form even after the rise, and first-time tongue-tie is the only change. Bigger fields may test her consistency.
Form last 66P-1U1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Recent form shows a win but also unseated and pulled up, with 10-11 weight and 11/2 odds suggesting mid-tier market confidence.
Consistent enough, with a decent third at Plumpton last time behind him, and the trip and ground are well within his compass; first-time tongue-tie suggests connections see more to come. Our figures, however, rank him near the foot of this field, making him difficult to endorse.
Form last 6514-63
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Inconsistent form (514-63) and 10/1 odds suggest market doubts, despite a competitive 114 Saturday Rating under 10-10.
Twin headgear changes — tongue-tie and visor for the first time — reflect connections seeking an answer, as he went too hard in front at Cartmel last time and faded; remains consistent over the trip and going, though the handicapper has a firm grip on his ceiling.
Form last 6942-15
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR—RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 112 with inconsistent form (942-15) and 10/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential carrying 10-9.
Third last time off a mark 1lb higher than today, and generally in decent recent form; won well at Hereford three starts back off a more lenient figure, but this longer trip looks a stretch. Our figures place him near the foot of this field.
Form last 644-123
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR—RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Oakley's consistent form (44-123) and solid 111 Saturday Rating are offset by 10/1 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ebony Warrior owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1David Killahena & Graeme McPhersonKielan Woods
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
American Sniper
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · David Pipe✓ Value Signal
Gabbys Cross
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Georgina Nicholls◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Miss Goldfire (SR 114, 11/2, 10-11) arrives on the back of a 6P-1U1 form string — two wins from her last two completions — and carries the lightest weight of the four SR-114 runners, giving her a real lbs edge: 1lb over Ebony Warrior, 2lb over Musique De Fee and Escapologist. Harry Fry sends out a well-handicapped mare in peak form, and the 2m7f70y trip on Good ground is well within the comfort zone of a horse who has won over staying hurdle distances. The market at 11/2 reflects steady confidence without over-reaction, and the 3-star probability aligns with the SR cluster at the top of the field. The U in her form is a non-completion rather than a soundness flag, sitting between two wins, and should be discounted.
Each-way alternative: Ebony Warrior.
Main danger: Crebilly — Crebilly (SR 124, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in the field and arrives off a last-time-out win on a form string of 68P5-1 — the Jonjo O'Neill yard is respected at this trip, and despite carrying 11-5, the market has made him favourite for a reason that the raw SR backs up.
ShortlistMiss Goldfire, Ebony Warrior, Crebilly, American Sniper