Class 3 13 May 2026

Wednesday 13 May St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m1f170y

348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Viroflay (FR) Miss Olive Nicholls · Paul Nicholls
    5/6F
  2. 11/8
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Viroflay
Age 9 · 12-0
22120-
127
145
9
12-0
11/10 11/10 Evs

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Certainly Red
Age 12 · 11-11
21P/3-
120
142
12
11-11
SP

SR 120 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Hoe Joly Smoke
Age 8 · 11-2
33566-
127
147
8
11-2
5/4 11/10 6/5

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Viroflay 11/10 open 2.20 11/10 open 2.20 11/10 open 2.20 evn open 2.10 11/10 open 2.20 11/10 Bet365
2 Certainly Red
3 Hoe Joly Smoke 5/4 5/4 open 2.20 5/4 open 2.20 5/4 open 2.38 6/5 open 2.10 5/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Viroflay

Live signal

Viroflay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Paul Nicholls Miss Olive Nicholls(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hoe Joly Smoke

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Certainly Red

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · Lydia Richards
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Viroflay
67.2 11/10
2 3. Hoe Joly Smoke
67.1 5/4
3 2. Certainly Red
59.3 -
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Viroflay
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 9 · 12-0
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-2
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Viroflay
Confidence: Medium

Viroflay leads the field with SR 127 and is trading at 7/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 12-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Viroflay, Hoe Joly Smoke, Certainly Red
Each-way: Hoe Joly Smoke Danger: Certainly Red

🗺 The Course Class 3

3m1f170y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade