Class 5 13 May 2026

Wednesday 13 May Murrayshall Cairns Handicap Chase

Murrayshall Cairns Handicap Chase · 2m7f180y

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Murrayshall Cairns Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Flying Poet (IRE) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy
    7/4F
  2. 8/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
The Flying Poet
Age 7 · 11-13
25221-
84
7
11-13
7/4 31/19 3/2

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Sir Carnegie
Age 6 · 11-5
1442-3
84
111
6
11-5
3/1 10/3 3/1
Completed a double with win at Kelso (3m, good to soft; 11-4) last November; wasn't fluent - has been a theme - but bounced back to form in reapplied cheekpieces when chasing home Inis Oirr over C&D (good) three weeks ago; 2lb higher with James Bowen taking over in the saddle; likely candidate.

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Similar Story
Age 8 · 11-3
5UP03-
73
111
8
11-3
14/1

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Burgundy Man
Age 9 · 11-3
33156-
86
105
9
11-3
12/1 18/1 12/1

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Jirko
Age 7 · 11-0
2333U-
89
109
7
11-0
22/1 16/1 20/1

SR 89 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Aill Dubh
Age 9 · 10-6
UPP31-
86
105
9
10-6
5/1 4/1 5/1

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Defying Gravity
Age 6 · 10-2
00053-
89
6
10-2
10/1 FCST 17/2

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Attaboyarchie silks
Attaboyarchie
Age 9 · 10-9
4P42-5
98
72
122
9
10-9
9/1 13/2 17/2
0-28 under rules and 0-8 in chases but has run well in defeat on occasion in this sphere; decent fourth at Leopardstown (21.5f, yielding) in March; 8l second at Down Royal (3m2f, good) in April; modest fifth at Perth latest; needs to find more to get his head in front.

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 The Flying Poet 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 7/4 13/8 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.63 7/4 Bet365
3 Sir Carnegie 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
4 Similar Story 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
5 Burgundy Man 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 William Hill
6 Jirko 22/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Aill Dubh 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 Bet365
8 Defying Gravity 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 17/2 10/1 Bet365
11 Attaboyarchie 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sir Carnegie

Speculative

Sir Carnegie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Mickey Bowen James Bowen
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Aill Dubh

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Micky Hammond
✓ Value Signal

Jirko

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · N W Alexander
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Sir Carnegie
56.8 3/1
2 7. Aill Dubh
56.1 5/1
3 2. The Flying Poet
55.9 7/4
4 8. Defying Gravity
52.9 10/1
5 5. Burgundy Man
49.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Jirko
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-13
7/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Age 6 · 11-5
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 10-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 9 · 10-9
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 6 · 10-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 11-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 11-3
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jirko
Confidence: Medium

Jirko leads the field with SR 89 and is trading at 11/2. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-0 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Jirko, Defying Gravity, Burgundy Man, Aill Dubh, The Flying Poet
Each-way: Defying Gravity Danger: Burgundy Man

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m7f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Perth Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade