Follow attheraces On Instagram Handicap · 1m1y
A Saturday Rating of just 28, 25/1 odds, and poor form figures of 6467 make Ernie McCrew a remote contender.
Poor recent form of 599 and a low Saturday Rating of 54 make 9/2 odds insufficient value at 9-9.
A Saturday Rating of 56 and inconsistent form (6-2230) at 9-9 weight justify a cautious mid-tier 3/5 assessment.
A Saturday Rating of 48, 10/1 odds, and poor recent form figures of 87-760 make Wild Rosie an unconvincing handicap contender.
A Saturday Rating of 64 and recent form showing two thirds suggest ability, but 9-8 weight tempers confidence despite 11/8 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 41, combined with uninspiring form figures of 76860 and 14/1 odds, make Action Reaction a weak contender.
A Saturday Rating of 48, poor form figures of 705, and 15/2 odds reflect limited market confidence in Moravian's chances.
Poor form figures of 580-98, a Saturday Rating of just 34, and 18/1 odds confirm Henfield holds little realistic chance here.
Laurasia's poor form (778-54), low Saturday Rating of 37, and 16/1 odds signal a weak market confidence warranting just 2/5 stars.
Poor form figures of 09-006, a 26 Saturday Rating, and 50/1 odds signal Ruiz has minimal winning prospects carrying 9-0.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ernie McCrew | 25/1 | — | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Whazzimo | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Athenian Spirit | 9/2 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Coral |
| 4 Wild Rosie | 10/1 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Fallacious Promise | 11/8 open 2.75 | — | 6/4 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 6/4 Coral |
| 6 Action Reaction | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Moravian | 15/2 open 6.50 | — | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Henfield | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Laurasia | 16/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Ruiz | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fallacious Promise owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalA Saturday Rating of 64 and recent form showing two thirds suggest ability, but 9-8 weight tempers confidence despite 11/8 odds.
Poor recent form of 599 and a low Saturday Rating of 54 make 9/2 odds insufficient value at 9-9.
A Saturday Rating of 56 and inconsistent form (6-2230) at 9-9 weight justify a cautious mid-tier 3/5 assessment.
A Saturday Rating of 48, poor form figures of 705, and 15/2 odds reflect limited market confidence in Moravian's chances.
A Saturday Rating of 48, 10/1 odds, and poor recent form figures of 87-760 make Wild Rosie an unconvincing handicap contender.
A Saturday Rating of 41, combined with uninspiring form figures of 76860 and 14/1 odds, make Action Reaction a weak contender.
Laurasia's poor form (778-54), low Saturday Rating of 37, and 16/1 odds signal a weak market confidence warranting just 2/5 stars.
Poor form figures of 580-98, a Saturday Rating of just 34, and 18/1 odds confirm Henfield holds little realistic chance here.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fallacious Promise leads the field on SR at 64 — a clear margin above the next-best Athenian Spirit (SR 56) — and carries only 9-8, the lightest weight among the top-rated horses. The form string 5-9223 shows consistent recent placing at this level (ClassMv:=), and the market has backed this up with a 10% move inward to 11/8, indicating stable confidence rather than speculative money. Course:W0P1 confirms prior course exposure at Lingfield AW, and while DistFit is only moderate (~) the three-furlong extension is not prohibitive for a horse showing placing form at this class. Trainer John Butler at 13% and jockey Luke Morris (11% strike rate, 1,296 career rides — proven operator) add professional reliability to the case. Each-way alternative: Athenian Spirit. Main danger: Athenian Spirit — Athenian Spirit (SR 56, 9/2) has a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 1m trip, has already placed at Lingfield (Course:W0P1), and jockey Hector Crouch carries a strong 17% career strike rate — if the market drift (out 16%) is simply noise rather than a negative signal, this horse has the strongest trip/course combination in the field.