Big Cigar
SpeculativeBig Cigar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
John Smith's Nursery · 6f
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Super Tuscan | 7/2 open 3.75 | — | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 Coral |
| 2 Big Cigar | 11/4 open 5.50 | — | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Dubai Champion | 10/3 open 4.50 | — | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Coral |
| 4 Furturra | 4/1 open 7.00 | — | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ballisty | 8/1 open 7.00 | — | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Boleto | 4/1 open 9.00 | — | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Social Spirit | 11/1 open 15.00 | — | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Rbflying | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 9 Brandenburg | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Big Cigar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Furturra (SR 89, 5/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries just 9-7 — a useful weight advantage over the co-favourites Super Tuscan and Dubai Champion (both 9-8/9-9). The form string 231212 is the most experienced and consistent in this nine-runner nursery, showing a horse that competes competitively race after race rather than flashing and fading. The market has backed this up emphatically: a 14% inward move since opening is the strongest steamer in the race, suggesting connections and informed money are confident. Course form of W0P2 at York adds a further positive — this track is specialist enough that familiarity counts, and Furturra has already shown it handles the circuit. As the Tim Easterby yard's designated number-one runner (SR 89 vs stablemate Rbflying's SR 63, with Sean Kirrane booked over Ben Robinson), the stable intent is clear. Each-way alternative: Big Cigar. Main danger: Dubai Champion — Dubai Champion (SR 87, 10/3) arrives on an identical last-time-out winning form line (431 rightmost = 1), is proven at today's trip (DistFit:+), runs at the same class as last time, and is trained by Ben Haslam whose 12% strike rate is the joint-best in the field — a horse in form at the right trip at the right level is always the most credible threat.