Nellcote
Live signalNellcote owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Median Auction Fillies Maiden · 1m4f65y
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 130 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blue Blue Moon | 11/4 open 9.00 | — | 11/4 open 8.50 | 11/4 open 8.50 | 5/2 open 8.50 | 11/4 open 8.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Express Choise | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Mawhibah | 7/1 open 5.50 | — | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Miss Romagna | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Nellcote | 5/2 | — | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Ocean Fire | 80/1 open 41.00 | — | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Reap The Rewards | 150/1 open 81.00 | — | 150/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Stellar Moment | 4/1 open 3.00 | — | 4/1 open 2.88 | 4/1 open 2.88 | 4/1 open 2.88 | 4/1 open 2.75 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Werifesteria | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nellcote owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Nellcote carries the second-highest SR in the field at 154 and is the clear yard #1 for Joseph Patrick O'Brien — booking Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate, 874 career rides) over stablemate Mawhibah's J M Sheridan signals where the stable confidence lies. At 11/4, the market has already identified this, and the four-star AI probability rating reinforces the case. Stellar Moment (SR 156) is the only horse with a marginally superior SR, but is trained by a smaller yard (O'Donoghue, 10% strike rate from just 61 runners) and has form figures of 6-3 — finishing third last time out — while Nellcote's single run showed promise on debut and the O'Brien operation at 15% from 1,401 runners is far more reliable at converting potential into wins. All runners share equal weight (9-3) so there is no burden differential to consider, and Nellcote at a workable price with the strongest jockey booking in the race is the play. Each-way alternative: Stellar Moment. Main danger: Stellar Moment — Stellar Moment holds the highest SR in the race at 156, is the market's second-shortest price at 9/4, and a step forward from her third-place debut could make her the winner if she's been working well at O'Donoghue's yard.