Class 5 14 May 2026

Thursday 14 May Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase

Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase · 2m3f104y

648-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Fontwell Park Half Year Membership Novices' Handicap Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lunar Ocean (IRE) Gavin Sheehan · Billy Aprahamian
    6/1
  2. 2/1F
  3. 4/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ballyfinn
Age 8 · 12-7
3744-1
77
104
8
12-7
9/2 5/2 9/2
Made the breakthrough on his fifth start over fences when scoring here (3m2f, good) last Wednesday; back down in trip under 7lb penalty but not fully exposed and looks a key player.

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Jaffa Cake
Age 6 · 11-7
04PP7-
40
6
11-7
14/1

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Lord Maher
Age 6 · 11-3
445B7-
81
104
6
11-3
14/1 25/1 12/1

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Thickthorn Tom
Age 6 · 11-2
/76P3-
76
99
6
11-2
15/8 32/17 7/4
Much the best of two chase starts when third of 11 at Exeter (3m, good to soft) in March; drops back in trip with a tongue-tie joining his cheekpieces; unexposed and he's respected for top yard.

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Misteroddsocks
Age 6 · 10-12
3P631-
85
101
6
10-12
5/1 6/1 9/2

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Lunar Ocean
Age 7 · 10-7
2524P-
86
103
7
10-7
6/1 13/2 11/2
Can make mistakes but mainly consistent over fences for this yard; pulled up at Warwick after an error last time but 2m and ground that was likely faster than good were probably not ideal; that brought his record to 0-18 but he's not ruled out in first-time blinkers back up in trip.

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ballyfinn 9/2 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.50 5/1 Coral
2 Jaffa Cake 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 William Hill
4 Lord Maher 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 29.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Thickthorn Tom 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 2.88 15/8 Bet365
6 Misteroddsocks 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365
7 Lunar Ocean 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Misteroddsocks

Speculative

Misteroddsocks owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Ben Case Ciaran Gethings
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Thickthorn Tom

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Lord Maher

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Karen Jewell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Misteroddsocks
56.1 5/1
2 5. Thickthorn Tom
54.9 15/8
3 1. Ballyfinn
52.8 9/2
4 7. Lunar Ocean
51.6 6/1
5 4. Lord Maher
44.4 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Lunar Ocean
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 11-2
15/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 12-7
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 6 · 10-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 10-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 6 · 11-3
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lunar Ocean
Confidence: Medium

Lunar Ocean leads the field with SR 86 and is trading at 7/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Lunar Ocean, Misteroddsocks, Lord Maher, Ballyfinn, Thickthorn Tom
Each-way: Misteroddsocks Danger: Lord Maher

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m3f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade