14 May 2026

Thursday 14 May Watch Danny's Diary @ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle

Watch Danny's Diary @ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle · 2m159y

1848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Nirisque Medium Join free to vote Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chautuaqua
Age 8 · 11-7
P/20U-
84
111
8
11-7
11/1 9/1 11/1

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
The Fog Horn
Age 6 · 11-7
7-
16
6
11-7
80/1 150/1 66/1

SR 0 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Another Blunder
Age 5 · 10-13
70-
71
5
10-13
50/1 33/1 40/1

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Carleys Lilly
Age 5 · 10-13
71
5
10-13
50/1 33/1 40/1

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Crossbar Getaway
Age 6 · 10-13
/2349-
92
109
6
10-13
9/1 15/2 9/1

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Game Phoenix
Age 5 · 10-13
5/330-
97
115
5
10-13
12/1 9/2 10/1

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Heatherhill Lady
Age 5 · 10-13
71
5
10-13
25/1 12/1 22/1

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Jumbos Jet
Age 5 · 10-13
632-
97
115
5
10-13
9/2 3/1 9/2

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Kaleo Ametsa
Age 6 · 10-13
96/F9-
97
110
6
10-13
11/1 20/1 11/1

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Laura's Choice
Age 5 · 10-13
71
5
10-13
66/1 FCST 50/1

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Mrs Mason
Age 6 · 10-13
71
6
10-13
50/1 FCST 40/1

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Muted Melody
Age 5 · 10-13
94349-
73
5
10-13
13/2 25/1 6/1

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Nirisque
Age 5 · 10-13
2/02-
101
119
5
10-13
11/8 3/2 18/13

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Our Girl Ellie
Age 6 · 10-13
25636-
96
116
6
10-13
7/1 5/1 7/1

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Shine Bright
Age 6 · 10-13
7/00U-
68
6
10-13
150/1

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

16
Torque De Lune
Age 6 · 10-13
40-
71
6
10-13
150/1 100/1 150/1

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

17
Wings Of Africa
Age 5 · 10-13
0PP-
9
30
5
10-13
150/1

SR 9 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

18
Arizona Robbins
Age 4 · 10-7
87-
41
55
4
10-7
150/1 125/1 150/1

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chautuaqua 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
2 The Fog Horn 80/1 open 151.00 66/1 open 151.00 66/1 open 151.00 66/1 open 151.00 66/1 open 151.00 80/1 Bet365
3 Another Blunder 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Carleys Lilly 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
5 Crossbar Getaway 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
6 Game Phoenix 12/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 5.50 10/1 open 5.50 12/1 Bet365
7 Heatherhill Lady 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Jumbos Jet 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Bet365
9 Kaleo Ametsa 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 23.00 12/1 Coral
10 Laura's Choice 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Bet365
11 Mrs Mason 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 40/1 66/1 William Hill
12 Muted Melody 13/2 open 29.00 7/1 open 26.00 7/1 open 26.00 6/1 open 29.00 7/1 open 26.00 7/1 Coral
13 Nirisque 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.88 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 Bet365
14 Our Girl Ellie 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Bet365
15 Shine Bright 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 Bet365
16 Torque De Lune 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 Bet365
17 Wings Of Africa 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 Bet365
18 Arizona Robbins 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 open 126.00 150/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nirisque

Speculative

Nirisque owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jumbos Jet

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · W J Martin
✓ Value Signal

Laura's Choice

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Nirisque
58.6 11/8
2 8. Jumbos Jet
55.2 9/2
3 14. Our Girl Ellie
54.7 7/1
4 9. Kaleo Ametsa
54.6 11/1
5 12. Muted Melody
52.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Nirisque
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

13
Age 5 · 10-13
11/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 10-13
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 10-13
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Age 6 · 10-13
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 10-13
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 11-7
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 6 · 10-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 10-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nirisque
Confidence: Medium

Nirisque leads the field with SR 101 and is trading at 6/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-13 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Nirisque, Game Phoenix, Jumbos Jet, Kaleo Ametsa, Our Girl Ellie
Each-way: Game Phoenix Danger: Jumbos Jet

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m159y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Clonmel Track and setting