Caulfield Industrial Handicap · 1m0f123y
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blues Emperor | 22/1 open 26.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 2 Dark Summit | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 3 Grey Leader | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 4 Java Wood | 6/1 open 7.50 | — | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 Coral |
| 5 San Aer | 8/1 | — | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Showyoutheropes | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 7 Bay Of Dreams | 11/2 | — | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 5/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 Coral |
| 8 Cala Bonita | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Faoladh | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Finsceal Annie | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Coral |
| 11 Kitty Bear | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Lady Arwen | 11/2 open 7.00 | — | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 11/2 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 Coral |
| 13 Loingseoir | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 Coral |
| 14 Rhythm King | 17/2 open 12.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 15 Bucaneer's Spirit | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 16 Liberate | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Moyassr | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Queen Aethelflaed | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Elusive Duke | 7/1 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 17/2 Coral |
| 20 Minaun View | 9/1 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 12/1 Coral |
| 21 Ballymagreehan | 9/1 | — | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 12/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Elusive Duke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Java Wood is the sole horse in this 21-runner field combining the top SR (76), proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+) on today's Good ground. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate from 948 rides — easily the highest-calibre jockey booking in the race), the form string -54013 shows a recent third and only a 6lb penalty uplift (MarkMv:+8) from the last win, which is manageable at 10-0. The slight drift to 6/1 (Mkt:out6%) is the only negative signal, but no rival matches the combination of SR, confirmed suitability for course conditions, and elite jockey. At a double-figure price, Bay Of Dreams is the each-way alternative. Each-way alternative: Bay Of Dreams. Main danger: Lady Arwen — Lady Arwen (SR:73, Odds:11/2) arrives on a form string of 001601 — two very recent wins — carrying just 9-12 and ridden by W J Lee (14% career strike rate), making her a lively each-way threat, though unproven distance and going (DistFit:? GoingFit:?) introduce meaningful doubt.