Leicester 19:02 RESULTED
Class 4 29 Jul 2026

Last Wednesday Leicester Racecourse Ideal Self-hire Wedding Venue Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Leicester Racecourse Ideal Self-hire Wedding Venue Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Leicester Racecourse Ideal Self-hire Wedding Venue Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Siwa Oasis (IRE) David Probert · Charles Hills
    9/4
  2. Second Yordan (IRE)
    10/1
  3. 8/15F
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Moving Shadow silks
Moving Shadow
Age 3 · 9-11
17-
81
90
81OR
3
9-11
10/11 8/11 5/6
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Winston's Oath silks
Winston's Oath
Age 4 · 9-11
122
4
9-11
66/1 28/1 66/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Siwa Oasis silks
Siwa Oasis
Age 3 · 9-4
2-754
77
85
77OR
3
9-4
2/1 3/2 32/17
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Yordan silks
Yordan
Age 3 · 9-4
151
3
9-4
4/1 11/4 4/1
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Moving Shadow 10/11 open 2.50 5/6 open 2.00 5/6 open 2.00 10/11 open 2.00 5/6 open 1.73 10/11 Bet365
2 Winston's Oath 66/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
3 Siwa Oasis 2/1 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 15/8 2/1 Bet365
4 Yordan 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Yordan

Live signal

Yordan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Kevin Ryan Kevin Stott
92% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Moving Shadow

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/11 · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

Winston's Oath

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · James Owen
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Yordan
69.9 4/1
2 1. Moving Shadow
55.9 10/11
3 3. Siwa Oasis
55.0 2/1
4 2. Winston's Oath
50.7 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Moving Shadow
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-11
10/11
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-4
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Moving Shadow
Confidence: Medium

Moving Shadow (SR 90, 10/11) may sit below Yordan's SR of 151 on paper, but the context here is critical: this is a novice stakes with a tiny four-runner field, and Moving Shadow brings proven course form (W1P1 at Leicester) that neither Yordan nor the others can match. The market has shortened 9% to odds-on, reflecting that connections and the betting public see a live chance — K.R. Burke's 19% yard strike rate backs that up. Stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1) also means this is a more comfortable assignment than last time, and the 310-day absence is a concern but Burke would not run an unfit horse odds-on at a course it has already won at. Yordan's SR 151 is theoretically the ceiling of this field but comes with a blank form line, market drift of 10%, and a 9% trainer strike rate offering no recent backing. Each-way alternative: Yordan. Main danger: Yordan — Yordan's SR of 151 is comfortably the highest in this field and if Kevin Ryan has this horse fit and ready on debut, raw ability alone could overpower Moving Shadow's course experience.

Shortlist Moving Shadow, Yordan
Each-way: Yordan Danger: Yordan

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Leicester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade