Chasemore Farm Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f0y
Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Montalbano | 33/1 | — | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | — | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Quest For Stars | 7/4 open 2.20 | — | 13/8 open 2.00 | 13/8 open 2.10 | 13/8 open 2.00 | 13/8 open 2.10 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Dancing Dunes | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Grove Street | 50/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 4 King High | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Lancaster Tower | 10/11 open 2.63 | — | evn open 3.25 | evn open 3.25 | 5/6 open 3.25 | 5/6 open 2.63 | evn Coral |
| 7 Secano | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lancaster Tower owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lancaster Tower (SR 158, 10/11) carries the highest SR in the field and is the only runner showing a significant market move — steaming in 36% from opening to near-evens, which in a maiden/novice context of debut runners is a powerful signal that Gosden connections are confident. The Gosden yard fires at 25% strike rate with 722 career runners, making them one of the most reliable stables in the country for educated debutants. At 9-4 against Quest For Stars's 9-11, Lancaster Tower also carries 7lb less, a meaningful weight advantage if the two are close in ability. Quest For Stars's 28% drift tempers its case despite the decent SR-155 and previous win. Each-way alternative: King High. Main danger: Quest For Stars — Quest For Stars (SR 155) has already won on debut and the class drop (↓1) means it faces easier opposition than last time, but the 28% drift is a concern that connections or market insiders see something amiss today.