Army Benevolent Fund/ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f6y
SR 122 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Breaking The Habit | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Darrington Golf | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 3 National Pride | 5/2 open 7.50 | — | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | — | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Palace Legacy | 9/2 open 3.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Stormy Winter | 7/1 open 9.50 | — | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Waakabb | 5/4 open 2.10 | — | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.50 | — | 6/4 Coral |
| 7 A La Montagne | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 9/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | — | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
National Pride owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
National Pride (SR 152, 5/2) carries the second-highest SR in the field and has steamed in 31% from its opening price — the strongest market move in the race — which for a Haggas juvenile with Cieren Fallon aboard represents genuine stable confidence rather than random drift. It drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) into this Class 3 novice, meaning connections believe it is ready to exploit easier company after its debut experience. Haggas hits at 21% overall, one of the highest trainer strike rates in the field, and Fallon's 19% career record complements that. The sole caveat is a 6-finishing debut run, but that one race result combined with a 31% market steam and a class drop makes the case compelling enough to commit. Each-way alternative: Waakabb. Main danger: Waakabb — Waakabb holds the highest SR in the race at 153, is the clear market leader at 5/4 on a flat level mark (ClassMv:=), and the Crisford yard's 19% strike rate means a debut third-placed run could be masking considerably more ability.