Scarlet Moon landed a win three starts back and has run over today's trip, with a rating of 82 lending him strong claims here; the main concern is a near-three-month absence and an unplaced effort last time out.
Form last 69714-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Russian Rumour shaped well with a third last time out and boasts two wins in her last five starts, and she has run over today's trip — her rating of 83 just edges the top spot in this small field; the main risk is the 42-day absence.
Form last 61-1343
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Taritino brings two wins in his last five starts into this, and just ten days between runs suggests he's in a purple patch of form. He has run over today's trip before, and carrying 139 lb looks manageable for a gelding rated 82 on our figures.
Form last 68-2114
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tabasko has been consistently placed, finishing second in each of her last two starts, and at 17 days between runs she arrives in fine shape — the main risk is she remains winless in recent starts and may find one too good again.
Form last 644-522
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Scarlet Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1Archie WatsonPierre-Louis Jamin
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Taritino
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Joe Tickle✓ Value Signal
Tabasko
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
evn · Ed Walker◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Taritino carries the highest SR in the field at 87, a clear edge over rivals clustered in the 64-78 range, and his recent form string 8-2114 shows back-to-back wins before a fourth last time out, indicating he remains competitive at this level. He sits on a manageable 9-13 and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground well. His DistFit:- is a genuine concern at 1m6f, but his mark is only 4lb higher than at his last win (MarkMv:+4) and the overall class of this field — four runners, all rated below 90 — means his SR advantage is meaningful. Joe Tickle's 11% strike rate is modest but Taylor Fisher at 10% from 264 rides is a functional booking for this level, and at 5/2 the market is appropriately pricing him as the standout ability horse.
Each-way alternative: Russian Rumour.
Main danger: Tabasko — At evens the market is strongly behind Tabasko, and Ed Walker's 15% strike rate combined with the in-form Ashley Lewis (16%, 243 rides) means connections are confident despite the class rise and going concern — if the 3-year-old's light weight of 8-13 allows it to travel well on what may play faster than the official 'good' description, it could outrun its ability ceiling.