Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1) · 6f
SR 82 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 90 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Carry The Flag | 33/1 open 17.00 | — | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Celeron | 2/1 open 3.50 | — | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.50 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Folsom Blues | 5/1 open 7.50 | — | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 King Of Cloughan | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 5 The Scallionator | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Tribeca | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Sun Goddess | 6/4 open 2.25 | — | 6/4 open 2.10 | 6/4 open 2.10 | 13/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.10 | 13/8 William Hill |
| 8 Velozee | 12/1 open 15.00 | — | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Celeron owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sun Goddess (SR 121, 6/5) is the dominant selection. She matches Celeron on SR — both at 121, the clear top of the field — but benefits from a 3lb weight advantage (9-2 vs 9-5) which matters in a sprint Group 1 on good to firm ground. Her form of 2121 is the most consistent in the field, showing an alternating pattern that reflects genuine top-level competitiveness rather than a one-off fluke, and she is proven at 6f (DistFit:+). Crucially, she carries Ryan Moore (27% strike rate, 485 runners), the most accomplished booking in the field by a wide margin, and A P O'Brien's yard is firing at 22%. The stable's second string, Carry The Flag (SR 82, Mkt:out103%), has been comprehensively opposed by the market confirming Sun Goddess is the yard's number-one with full yard support behind her. Each-way alternative: Celeron. Main danger: Celeron — Celeron (SR 121, 9/4) matches Sun Goddess on SR and has steamed 10% in the market with Oisin Murphy booked — a 101 form line over 6f showing a last-time-out win makes this a live threat if Sun Goddess's longer absence (43 days) leaves her even fractionally short of peak.