Yet to win in his last five starts, Northwest Passage nonetheless brings a second two starts back to recommend him, and has run over today's trip and going before; 36 days between runs is a minor query, though his rating of 90 suggests he retains ability.
Form last 62-0525
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR90RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Spirit Of Acklam arrives on the back of a win last time out and boasts two victories in his last five starts, with experience over today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the main risk is whether 142 lb from stall nine proves too stiff a burden.
Form last 619-571
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR91RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Star Cast brings strong recent form — four wins in her last six starts, including back-to-back victories — and has experience of today's trip and conditions; however, 52 days off the track and a hefty 142 lb to carry are the checks against her here.
Form last 6113211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR82RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Regalian showed his best recently with a third four starts back, but has been out of the picture since; however, he returns in good time on 16 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 92 makes him a serious threat — the risk is his winless recent run.
Form last 663-688
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR92RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Obito nevertheless shaped with promise when a second three starts back, and he returns after 32 days with experience of today's trip and going — our rating of 94 makes him the one to beat from stall 4.
Form last 66-8255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR94RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mano Chicago has been placed second three times in his last five starts and has run over today's trip and going, making him a strong threat at a rating of 93 — though he remains yet to win in recent starts, and 49 days off the track is the query.
Form last 6/25242
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR93RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fourth last time out blunts his recent claims, though a winner two starts back gives him some hope; he has run over today's trip and going, but the trainer's poor recent strike rate and a stiff 138 lb make it hard to be confident.
Form last 6413614
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR85RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A third three starts back and a winner four starts back show Simply Ruby has ability, but her last two runs have been modest sixth and seventh-place finishes; she has experience over today's trip and going, and 28 days since her last start leaves fitness an open question.
Form last 64137-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a winner five starts back but has returned figures of eighth, seventh, unplaced and sixth since, leaving his current form in question; he has experience over today's trip and going, and a 21-day break could freshen him, though the weight of 133 lb is no help.
Form last 61-8706
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR81RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Lorca's Waltz was a winner two starts back but has finished fifth on his latest start, and ranked last on our figures with 132 lb to carry, he is hard to fancy despite going experience and a fresh enough return.
Form last 69-515
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR70RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, with a sixth last time out and an eighth two starts back, Molinari faces an uphill task from stall 3 off a mark of 66; experience over today's trip and going, plus a quick 16-day turnaround, are modest positives at best.
Form last 6204-86
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR76RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Consistently finishing mid-pack to rearward in his last five starts — sixth or worse twice, and his sole recent win four starts back — Boy Named Sioux is hard to fancy ranked 11th of 13 on our figures, though he has going experience to call on.
Form last 6416-57
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Ziata faces a stiff task against this field, and her speed rating of 66 gives little encouragement; she has run over today's trip and going before, however, and a win last time out at least brings her to the mark in form.
Form last 63-2531
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR74RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Spirit Of Acklam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Michael & David EasterbyJoanna Mason
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pearl Eye
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Jim Goldie✓ Value Signal
Cisco Disco
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · R Mike Smith◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Spirit Of Acklam (SR:82, 9/2) arrives off a career-best form line finishing 1st last time out, carries a manageable 10-2, and crucially shows GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — the only runner combining a recent win, confirmed going suitability, and meaningful market support (11% steam). The Easterby yard runs at 9% strike rate but Joanna Mason (11% career SR) is a competent partner for this trip, and the MarkMv:+1 means the handicapper has barely reacted to the win, leaving value intact. The 9/2 price implies roughly 18% market probability, but the convergence of form, going fit, and money shortening the price pushes my estimate materially higher.
Each-way alternative: Star Cast.
Main danger: Star Cast — Star Cast (SR:84, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field with Course:W1P2 at Ayr and a DistFit:+ over 1m2f, and its 20% drift may reflect stable tactics rather than a genuine negative — if Gemma Tutty's yard has identified this as their number-one runner over stablemate Ziata, the course-and-distance profile makes it the most likely winner.
ShortlistSpirit Of Acklam, Star Cast, Pearl Eye, Obito