Long Gone showed smart form when winning four starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and conditions; the concern is her two pulled-up efforts in between, plus 57 days off, mean confidence in her bouncing back cannot be total.
Form last 641P-6P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
83SR105RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winner two starts back, Secret Rock returns after 25 days carrying 161 lb, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour — though he'll need to bounce back from an unplaced effort last time.
Form last 65/5-10
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR100RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Figero landed a win two starts back but has been unplaced in three of his last five, and our rating of 92 trails his official mark of 103, suggesting he may be working off a flattering handicap weight. Has run over today's trip and going, though a fifth last time out leaves him needing to find more.
Form last 6000-15
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR92RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and drawn from a struggling yard that has gone 0/27 in the past fortnight, Go To Town faces an uphill task at 155 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 101 offers slim encouragement.
Form last 60-0440
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR101RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ripsnorter won four starts back and was third five starts back, giving him some form to point to, yet three consecutive unplaced efforts since cloud his claims; he has run over today's trip and going, and 155 lb is no gimme at OR 99.
Form last 6310-76
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
93SR103RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Houndsworth won four starts back but has struggled for consistency since, finishing out of the frame in his last three outings; he has run over today's trip and going, yet 154 lb is a stiff ask for a horse rated 101 officially.
Form last 6017-65
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR99RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ran third three starts back but winless in his last four, Fremantle Doctor brings useful form to this contest and our rating of 103 has him right in the mix; the concern is a 161-day absence carrying 153 lb.
Form last 6/7390-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR103RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Le Diablo does at least bring placings — third and second in consecutive runs two and three starts back — and has run over today's trip and going before, but 152 lb is a stern burden and his trainer is without a strike in 24 runners over the past fortnight.
Form last 6705230
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR95RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Atlantic Gamble hasn't troubled the judge recently, and 76 days off the track does little to inspire confidence — ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, he faces a stiff ask here, despite having run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6747-67
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR90RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in her last five starts and returning after 86 days off, Final Decision does at least have experience over today's trip and conditions — though her recent unplaced efforts and that fall give pause, and 151 lb is a stern burden to overcome.
Form last 626F0/0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR99RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts with two seconds his best recent efforts, Koeur A Prendre ranks 11th of 14 on our figures and carries 150 lb, making him hard to fancy; experience of today's going is the one positive to cling to.
Form last 6770-22
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR91RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked third of 14 on our ratings, Brave Crogha has run over today's trip and going and shaped with more promise than his bare figures suggest — the chief concern is a pulled-up effort most recently and 76 days off the track since.
Form last 60909-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR103RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Chemdawg has shown she can win in recent starts — a winner two starts back, and second last time out — but she has pulled up twice in her last five and our rating ranks her last of the fourteen here, making her very hard to fancy despite the distance and going experience.
Form last 6PP21-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR79RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Koeur A Prendre owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2M A MolloyDaniel King
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Chemdawg
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Oliver McKiernan✓ Value Signal
Figero
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Thomas Mullins◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Chemdawg (SR:90, 7/2) shares the joint-top SR in the field alongside Ripsnorter and Koeur A Prendre, but carries a featherweight 10-1 — the lightest in the race — giving him a substantial weight advantage over rivals rated similarly or lower. His recent form of PP21-2 shows a genuine revival: a win followed by a close second last time out, and the market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming professional support. The tongue-tie and blinkers combination (HG:tb) suggests connections are taking this seriously, and Phillip Enright provides a competent jockey booking with meaningful experience. While MarkMv:+8 means he's running off a mark 8lb higher than his last win, the weight-for-age advantage at 10-1 versus rivals carrying 11st+ largely neutralises that concern.
Each-way alternative: Koeur A Prendre.
Main danger: Koeur A Prendre — Koeur A Prendre (SR:93, 10/3) is joint-top of the SR rankings, has shown consistent placed form (770-22) with two consecutive seconds, and despite a 10% market drift carries only 10-10 — just 9lb more than Chemdawg — making the weight concession manageable if his form trajectory continues upward.
ShortlistChemdawg, Koeur A Prendre, Ripsnorter, Long Gone