Alfred Tennyson won last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving him a solid platform here; carrying 140 lb from stall seven, he looks our pick despite the quick five-day turnaround.
Form last 6206031
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR84RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pretty Omagh Girl won two starts back but has been unplaced on her most recent outing, leaving her form slightly mixed; she has run over today's trip and returns after 45 days off, though she faces a stiff task ranked fifth of seven.
Form last 6424-10
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR84RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Little Empire ran a fine second two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while his rating of 87 tops this seven-runner field — the main concern is that sixth last time out suggests he can be inconsistent, and he remains yet to score.
Form last 6335426
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR87RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Exquisite Acclaim showed a promising third three starts back and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going in his favour — the risk is that he's been winless in recent starts, including an unplaced effort last time.
Form last 6407360
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR85RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Indigo Dream has shown ability, finishing second twice in recent starts, and she has experience over today's trip, while our rating of 86 ranks her second in this field; the worry is a trainer in poor form at just 3% over the last fortnight.
Form last 6220847
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR86RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Back-to-back wins two and three starts back give Ohailbhic some form to point to, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but a seventh last time out and a ranking of seventh of seven on our figures make him hard to fancy at the weights.
Form last 6-83117
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR78RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Lohoobb's claims look slim despite carrying 126 lb from stall 1; he has run over today's trip and going before, but an eighth last time out — just three days ago — makes this a very tough ask.
Form last 6525248
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR81RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Little Empire owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Anthony McCannPatrick McGettigan(5)
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lohoobb
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · M C Grassick✓ Value Signal
Ohailbhic
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
10/1 · John James Feane◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Exquisite Acclaim (SR:75, 9/1) is the standout market mover in this race, steaming in 28% from opening — the most dramatic market move in the field and the clearest money signal available. Despite a modest SR of 75, it carries a favourable 9-11 and lands a 2lb+ weight advantage over the top-weights Alfred Tennyson and Pretty Omagh Girl (both 10-0). The visor is applied, suggesting connections are trying something new to sharpen focus, and jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle boasts a 15% career strike rate — the highest in the field by some margin — giving the yard a high-quality booking. The DistFit:- is a genuine concern at 7f, but the market move of 28% on a 9/1 shot in a €15,000 handicap suggests connections have a reason for confidence that overrides the form-book query.
Each-way alternative: Little Empire.
Main danger: Little Empire — Little Empire (SR:83, joint-highest in field, 4/1) carries only 9-13, holds a proven DistFit:+ at 7f — the only runner with a confirmed positive distance record — and despite running off a mark 8lb higher than last win, its superior SR and distance credentials make it the most dangerous rival on raw ability grounds.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
DistFit:- at 7f is a concrete form-book flag — a 7yo with no confirmed distance suitability in a competitive €15,000 handicap is a significant risk, regardless of market move.
Recent form reads 407360: two consecutive zeros (failed to complete or finished last) in the last two runs are deeply concerning and suggest the horse is not in winning form entering today.
Trainer Adrian McGuinness runs at just 8% strike rate (244 runners), one of the weaker yards in the field, undermining the visor/market move narrative — connections may be grasping rather than confid…
SR:75 is the lowest in the field by a meaningful margin; horses rated 80-83 (Alfred Tennyson, Little Empire, Ohailbhic, Lohoobb) carry superior ratings and most have lighter or comparable weights, ma…
ShortlistExquisite Acclaim, Little Empire, Alfred Tennyson, Pretty Omagh Girl