Melbourne Cup Carnival Handicap · 1m0f0y
SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bundle Of Interest | 15/2 | — | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Neo Smart | 10/3 open 7.00 | — | 3/1 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 Kitty Bear | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tofino | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Marambo | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Comfort Line | 8/1 open 10.00 | — | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Pallatine Hills | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sherekiya | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Lamberella | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Dinamine | 14/1 | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Avec Grand Plaisir | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Sancerre Rock | 11/1 open 10.00 | — | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 13 Ella's Gold | 13/2 open 7.00 | — | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 14 Navajo Point | 14/1 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Alto Sax | 5/1 open 7.50 | — | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Cannonball Queen | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ella's Gold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 68 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Neo Smart (SR:68, 7/2, 9-12) is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Ella's Gold (SR:69) but carries only 9-12 compared to Bundle Of Interest's 10-1, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over several rivals. The standout signal here is the 20% market move in — the strongest steamer in the entire field — which in a €10,800 handicap at the Curragh strongly suggests informed confidence from the Bolger yard. The MarkMv:-4 confirms it is running off a lower mark than its last win, a classically favoured handicap scenario. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, the same flags appear on the majority of this field (8 of 16 runners share both negatives), meaning the betting market is clearly not deterred and the weight-and-mark combination remains the most compelling alignment of signals on the card. Each-way alternative: Alto Sax. Main danger: Ella's Gold — Ella's Gold carries the joint-highest SR (69) on the lightest competitive weight (9-0), has a proven DistFit:+ at today's trip — the only runner to hold that flag — and despite a 12% drift, a 3-y-o dropping to this prize level with a confirmed mile record is a genuine threat to spoil the party.