Winless in her last five starts, Annie's Angel nonetheless catches the eye as our second-ranked runner in a field of fifteen, with experience over today's trip and going and a lively return just 17 days ago; the risk is that her recent finishing positions suggest she needs things to fall right.
Form last 6625-45
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR108RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, including a pull-up, Doctor Confusion has questions to answer on recent form, though he has run over today's distance and going before and 26 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the 165 lb burden is a further ask.
Form last 68/6P-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR92RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 9/1.
Ina Mina won last time out and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround, with experience of both today's trip and going in her favour, but a hefty 165 lb burden and patchy recent form — four starts without a win before that latest success — give reason for pause.
Form last 60880-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR93RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pahlavi has run over today's distance and going, and our rating puts him at the head of this field, but a pulled-up effort last time and a winless recent run of form make confidence hard to fully sustain under a hefty 165 lb.
Form last 6-0655P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR108RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 15 on our figures, Colesberg returns after 93 days off carrying 163 lb, with a string of seventh, sixth, and two ninths making him hard to fancy, though he does have experience on today's going.
Form last 6996-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR81RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Glendower has run over today's trip and going, and at 95 on our ratings he ranks fourth among 15 rivals, but his recent string of unplaced efforts — including a fifth last time out — makes him winless in his last four starts and that's the primary concern.
Form last 660/0-5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR95RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Truckers Cruising is fit enough on a ten-day turnaround and has experience of today's trip and conditions, while our rating of 103 marks him out as a serious threat in this field; the risk is that recent starts have left him winless and in need of a turnaround in form.
Form last 66-0P05
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR103RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11th of 15 on our figures, Lanzhou faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's going before and returns just three days after his latest outing carrying 159 lb.
Form last 6009-07
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR86RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and pulling up two back is a concern, but 24 days gives connections time to have him spot on, and our rating of 92 sits comfortably above his official mark of 84, suggesting there may be more to find.
Form last 69F8P-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR93RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts and carrying 153 lb, Vairue does have experience over today's distance and going in his favour, though that fall last time out is a concern and his finishing positions make for mixed reading.
Form last 6409/7F
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR92RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last six starts and back just two days ago, Cinnabar Moth does have experience of today's trip and going to call on, though a 151 lb burden and a ranking of ninth of fifteen suggest she faces a stiff task finding improvement here.
Form last 6055694
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR91RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and returning from a 445-day absence, Depeche Mo faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a third three starts back hints at residual ability; the 144 lb burden hardly helps his cause.
Form last 6P3/06-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR87RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 14 of 15 on our figures, Surviving Murmansk looks a tough sell here, though a second two starts back and a run just eight days ago suggests he arrives fit, and he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 66-6026
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR78RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, with a pulled up among recent efforts, Doyen Og makes little appeal ranked 12 of 15 on our figures, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 37-day break carrying 142 lb.
Form last 690-P78
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR83RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last four starts and pulled up most recently, Maxios Lady returns after a lengthy 324-day absence carrying 142 lb, leaving plenty of questions to answer; yet to score, she remains unexposed enough to show more than her limited recent form suggests.
Form last 6000P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR—RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Annie's Angel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Adrian McGuinnessMichael Kenneally(5)
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ina Mina
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Terence O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Pahlavi
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · John Joseph Hanlon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ina Mina (SR:88, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field and arrives on the back of a recent win (form reads 0880-1, last run a success 13 days ago), confirming peak form heading into today. The GoingFit:+ is a decisive signal — she is proven on good ground and today's conditions suit. The MarkMv:+13 is a genuine concern, running off a mark 13lb higher than her last winning mark, but at SR 88 she retains a meaningful class edge over every other runner in the field; no rival clears SR 80. John Shinnick's 5% strike rate is modest, but the trainer Terence O'Brien's booking of a regular claiming jockey is normal at this level, and the market at 11/4 — shortest in the field — reflects confidence that she can defy the penalty.
Each-way alternative: Surviving Murmansk.
Main danger: Surviving Murmansk — Surviving Murmansk (SR:77, 11/2) is the second-highest rated runner and carries only 10-3 — 22lb less than Ina Mina — which is a meaningful weight concession in a 2m hurdle on good ground, even accounting for Ina Mina's superior SR.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
A +13lb mark rise is steep for a horse trained by a 5% handler; Ina Mina's last win came off a mark 13lb lower and she has shown no evidence of being able to produce that level repeatedly under a hig…
HG:h (heavy ground preference) flags that Ina Mina's best form is on softer going; today's good ground (GoingFit:+) may be overstated as a positive if her optimal conditions are actually softer.
Annie's Angel (SR:87) is only 1 SR point inferior and carries the same weight (11-11), yet goes off at 13/2 — if the market is right to price her that wide relative to Ina Mina, one must ask whether…
Jockey John Shinnick strikes at just 5% (252 rides) and trainer Terence O'Brien at 5% (129 runners) — this combined handler/rider combination has a low base-rate of success, a specific operational ri…