Ian Carnaby 30 Years Of Sponsorship Handicap Stakes · 1m1f207y
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Liberate | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Bownder | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 3 Crimson Road | 3/1 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 3/1 | 11/4 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Bobacious | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Star Mind | 25/1 open 6.00 | 28/1 open 6.50 | 18/1 open 6.00 | 18/1 open 6.00 | 25/1 open 6.00 | 22/1 open 7.50 | 28/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Bohemian Breeze | 7/1 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 It's Life | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Twilight Guest | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Liberate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Crimson Road (SR 72, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in this Class 6 field by a clear margin and arrives in career-best form with a recent -59411 string — back-to-back wins culminating in a last-time-out success just 15 days ago. Crucially, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this horse is proven at today's trip and on good-to-firm ground specifically, a double-confirmation that separates it from every rival. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark only 4lb higher than the last win (MarkMv:+4) is a very manageable rise, and William Carson (8% career SR, 565 runners of experience) is a competent pilot who knows Brighton's tricky undulations. The main concern is that the market is not shouting — 11/4 is fair rather than a steamer — but with the SR ceiling, proven conditions and class drop all aligned, this is the standout. Each-way alternative: Bobacious. Main danger: Bobacious — Bobacious (SR 67, 4/1) has won last time out (-34651 rightmost = 1), carries the same weight as Crimson Road, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on exactly today's conditions, is dropping a class, and has steamed in 13% in the market — a combination of signals that makes it the most credible threat to the selection.