Watch On Racing TV Handicap Stakes · 1m0f2y
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 52 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 29 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Elizabeth Bay | 16/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 14/1 open 34.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Thats My Boy Luke | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 Coral |
| 3 Hostelry | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Coral |
| 4 Jewel Maker | 14/1 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Due Respect | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Approaching Dawn | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 Coral |
| 7 Joshuas Dream | 12/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Misemerald | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Caledonian Dream | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Abu Royal | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Bantz | 25/1 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Sievier | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Serengeti Sunrise | 25/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hostelry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Hostelry (SR:61, 4/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field with Misemerald but carries 8lb more favourably at 9-8 versus Misemerald's 9-1 — actually very close in weight, but Hostelry's recent form string 555451 shows consistent competitiveness culminating in a last-time-out win just 14 days ago at the same class level. Ruth Carr's 11% strike rate with Joanna Mason (11%) is a reliable combination, and the visor has been worn before indicating a settled headgear regime. The drift of 15% in the market is a concern and must be acknowledged, but at 4/1 in a Class 6 field with the best recent form line and a proven last-time-out win, the market may simply be reacting to the age (9) and modest GoingFit:~ rather than any substantive negative. Misemerald drifted harder (16%) and has confirmed DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags that genuinely undermine its chance today. Each-way alternative: Approaching Dawn. Main danger: Misemerald — Misemerald shares SR:61 with Hostelry, sits on the lightest competitive weight at 9-1, and has three places at this course (Course:W0P3), though the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are genuine concerns that explain the 16% drift.