Aill Dubh
SpeculativeAill Dubh owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy) · 2m5f34y
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Kinbara Firstdraft | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bravethewaves | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Halfway House Lad | 7/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Illogical Logic | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Blazing Court | 14/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Judicial Review | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Roi Du Roume | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Coral |
| 8 Path Of Stars | 11/2 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 11/2 | 6/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Aill Dubh | 4/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 Paddy Power |
| 10 Scoro | 10/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Fast Deal | 66/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 40/1 open 126.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Aill Dubh owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Roi Du Roume (SR:79, 7/2) carries the joint-lightest competitive weight at 10-11 alongside Path Of Stars, holds the top SR among the market principals, and crucially has Sean Bowen in the saddle — a jockey striking at 23% from 1,224 career rides, the standout booking in this field. The market has already shortened 9% since opening, confirming professional confidence. Trainer Mickey Bowen runs at 16% which is strong for this class. The DistFit:- flag is a concern at 2m5f, but Cartmel's unique flat-and-tight configuration compresses the stamina test, and the 34-426 form shows consistent engagement at this level — the 6 last time out can be forgiven given 62 days off. At 7/2 with money coming in, this represents genuine value over a weak field. Each-way alternative: Aill Dubh. Main danger: Aill Dubh — Aill Dubh (SR:80, 4/1) carries the highest SR in the field, has won at Cartmel (Course:W1P1), and returns on a mark only 2lb above his last win — the 31-441 form includes a recent victory and he is the one horse in the field who can point to genuine course-winning evidence at this track.