Faoladh won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but two unplaced efforts before that run and a tall weight of 141 lb from stall 18 give his supporters pause for thought.
Form last 6169001
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR72RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out — a win nine days ago on a quick turnaround — and she has run over today's trip and going before, which helps; however, that eighth two starts back is a concern, and ranked eighth of 21 here, she faces a stiff task carrying 140 lb.
Form last 63338-1
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR71RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Flaming rib is winless in his last five starts, yet our rating of 82 marks him out as the standout in a field of 21, and he has experience of both today's trip and going; the risk is that his recent finishing positions — seventh and eighth in back-to-back outings — make the turnaround a significant ask.
Form last 60-5487
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR82RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Poweracclaim caught the eye with a third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating puts him comfortably clear of his official mark — a strong case for a big run; the main worry is 49 days off and a trainer firing at just 3% lately.
Form last 65-4043
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR76RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Four Blondes has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 77 — ranking her third in a field of 21 — makes her a leading threat on a quick seven-day turnaround; the concern is a trainer who is yet to land a winner in the last 14 days.
Form last 68-4056
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR77RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Lethimfly does at least hold experience over today's trip and going, and a second four starts back shows he can get competitive; however, three consecutive unplaced efforts since, plus 56 days off the track and a hefty 135 lb to carry, make improvement hard to predict.
Form last 60-2000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR73RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Call The Cavalry is winless in his last five starts, with his best recent effort a second four starts back, and an unplaced run last time out does little to inspire; experience over today's trip and a quick 14-day turnaround offer some encouragement, though his rating of 62 suggests he faces a stiff task from 21 runners.
Form last 65-2560
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR62RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Twice a runner-up in her last six starts yet winless in that spell, Rosato arrives on a quick seven-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going, though carrying 132 lb from stall 16 on a modest official mark of 62 leaves her with plenty to find.
Form last 6907202
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR66RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, though a second three starts back and a third four starts back hint at ability, while experience over today's trip and going offers some comfort; the 131 lb burden from stall 10 looks the main obstacle to reversing recent fortunes.
Form last 6463294
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Top Biller is winless in his last six starts, and a ranking of 19 from 21 on our figures makes him hard to fancy here; 72 days off adds a fitness query, though he has run over today's trip and going before and the two seconds in recent starts offer some crumb of comfort.
Form last 6660202
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR52RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Apothic Red at least shaped with some promise when second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 128 lb from stall eight, he rates a shade better than his official mark of 61 suggests, though consistency remains the question.
Form last 6-86572
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Dervo Annie showed her best when winning and finishing second in earlier starts, but a seventh and sixth in her last two runs suggest she's gone off the boil; she has experience of today's trip and conditions, though a mark of 61 and draw seven make her a tough each-way proposition.
Form last 6215267
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR62RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Tawaazon heads here just six days after his latest fifth, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, a rating of 63 from stall six at 126 lb leaves him with plenty to find against a competitive field.
Form last 6295945
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR63RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with three unplaced efforts sandwiching a ninth last time out, Caffu Zafeen is hard to fancy from stall 19 on a 5% trainer strike rate; he has run over today's trip and going, but little else in the profile compels.
Form last 66-0009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR57RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
A winner six starts back, I'm Spartacus has been largely out of the cards since, finishing eighth two starts back and unplaced last time out just six days ago; the quick turnaround and a rating 13 points above his official mark offer some hope, but the recent form makes belief a stretch.
Form last 6160480
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR65RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 16 of 21 on our figures, Simmering Seas is hard to fancy despite her experience over today's trip and going; a second two starts back is the best she offers, and six days since her last run at least suggests she arrives fresh.
Form last 67-6024
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR57RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts, with a ninth last time out the chief concern, Strikepoint heads here 14 days later rated just 54 officially and ranked 17 of 21 on our figures; experience over today's trip and going, plus a 14-day turnaround, are slim pickings for optimism from stall 17.
Form last 6709
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR57RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Ranked 18 of 21 on our figures, Fontaine Khaled makes this very difficult to fancy — winless in her last six starts, with a fifth last time out and only a solitary third three starts back to offer any encouragement, though she has run over today's trip and going and returns on a reasonable 22-day break.
Form last 6008375
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR56RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Ranked near the foot of the field on our figures and carrying 119 lb from stall 15, Another Nice'day faces a stiff ask, his sole win in his last six starts coming three runs back amid a largely inconsistent recent record, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6006174
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
39SR48RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Pure Valour faces a stiff task here; she does arrive on a sharp 13-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going to her name, but that is the limit of the encouragement.
Form last 697606
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR44RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Coincidental Glory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Adrian McGuinnessReese Holohan(2)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Naoi
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · W McCreery✓ Value Signal
Fontaine Khaled
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Eddie & Patrick Harty◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Coincidental Glory (SR:67, 6/1, 9-5) is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Naoi, but carries 9 lbs less than Naoi (10-0) — a meaningful weight advantage in a 21-runner apprentice handicap on good ground. The market has shortened 13% since opening, which in a wide-open field of this nature is a meaningful signal that connections are confident. Adrian McGuinness's yard has three runners, and Coincidental Glory draws the strongest apprentice booking (Reese Holohan, 11% strike rate from 156 rides) — clearly the yard's number one ahead of Flaming Rib and I'm Spartacus, both of whom are drifting heavily. The 3-year-old's recent form of 463294 shows consistency without a win but the step down in weight relative to rivals and the market move make this the most compelling case.
Each-way alternative: Naoi.
Main danger: Naoi — Naoi (SR:69, 5/1, 10-0) is the joint-top rated horse and has a recent last-time-out win (Form:3338-1) at today's trip with DistFit:+ confirmed, giving it the strongest raw ability and proven distance form, albeit carrying more weight and with a slight market drift of 6%.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Coincidental Glory's form of 463294 shows zero wins — this 3yo has never led home a 21-runner field and last won a race at any level, raising questions about a winning instinct under pressure in a bi…
Naoi (SR:69, 5/1) is rated 2 points higher, has won most recently (last run form ending in '1'), is 9 days fresh, and Coen (13% SR) outstrips Holohan (11%) — the weight edge doesn't clearly outweigh…
Poweracclaim (SR:66, 6/1, 9-10) is the same SR, same odds, 3 lbs lighter, trained by the stronger Murtagh yard (11% SR) with an experienced apprentice — a near-identical profile at identical price un…
A 3-year-old carrying 9-5 in a 21-runner apprentice handicap at the Curragh draws heavily on a wide, competitive pace scenario where inexperienced riders can cost positions — Holohan's 11% SR across…