Rose Cotton shaped with plenty of promise when third last time out and second three starts back, and her experience over today's trip and going gives her strong claims from stall five. The chief concern is that 47 days off the track may leave her just short of peak sharpness.
Form last 6-12273
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR80RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Patrol shaped with plenty of credit last time, finishing third nine days ago, and also ran second twice in recent starts — a consistent profile that makes him the one to beat here, even if he remains winless in his last six. Has run over today's trip and going, and carries 135 lb from stall one.
Form last 6224363
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR87RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Triple Double A nonetheless carries a speed rating of 88 that marks him as one of the sharper threats in this field, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; the concern is a recent sequence of mid-to-rear finishes that is hard to dismiss.
Form last 6775786
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Showed a return to form with a win five starts back, but has finished third at best in her last four outings since; Twilight Moon has run over today's trip and going, carries 134 lb from stall seven, and represents a midfield profile that could see her involved without necessarily threatening the principals.
Form last 6-16653
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR77RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Moonjid has run over today's trip and going, and his win four starts back shows he can produce when conditions align, but three subsequent finishes of fourth, fifth and seventh in his last six starts suggest consistency remains elusive carrying 134 lb from stall nine.
Form last 6531754
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR76RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Something Splendid landed a win five starts back and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 79 lending him strong claims here; the main concern is that he has not raced in 88 days.
Form last 6104-97
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked seventh of nine on our figures, Solanna faces a stiff ask here, and that sixth last time out does little to inspire confidence, though he has winning form in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6143216
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and absent for nearly a year, Arundel faces a stiff task ranked eighth of nine on our figures, though he has run over today's distance and going before and that experience offers at least some slim encouragement.
Form last 622245-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR74RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Man Of Desert faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a sound enough 18-day break carrying 126 lb from stall eight.
Form last 6057427
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR74RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Something Splendid owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Peter Chapple-HyamMarco Ghiani
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Patrol
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Dylan Cunha✓ Value Signal
Moonjid
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Michael Appleby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Patrol (SR 82, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a meaningful positive in a Class 5 handicap. The 34% market move inward is the single strongest market signal in this race, suggesting informed money is backing this selection with conviction. GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, combined with a visor applied to sharpen focus, and a mark that sits below his last win level (DistFit:? is the only soft point — untried at this trip rather than proven poor), makes this a multi-signal case. Trainer Dylan Cunha at 10% and jockey Jack Callan at 14% are workmanlike but the class drop and market steam override connection concerns.
Each-way alternative: Triple Double A.
Main danger: Rose Cotton — Rose Cotton (SR 80, 9/2) matches Patrol on SR, carries the same weight at 9-9, and jockey Jack Mitchell at 13% is a proven Yarmouth operator — recent form of 1-2-2-7-3 shows she's consistently hitting the frame, and a slight drift of 5% is the only concern against an otherwise solid profile.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 224363 — Patrol has not won in 6 starts, finishing 3rd or worse in his last three, suggesting he may be a serial runner-up/place horse rather than a winner at any level.
DistFit:? means Patrol is unproven at today's trip, and the visor (first-time headgear change at an unfamiliar distance) adds execution risk rather than certainty.
Trainer Dylan Cunha at 10% strike rate from 344 runners is a notably weak handler stat; even with market support, the stable has a poor record converting well-backed horses.
Rose Cotton (SR:80) and Solanna (SR:80) are closely matched in rating and Solanna has course form and a more experienced jockey, meaning Patrol's SR edge over the field is slim and may not be decisiv…
ShortlistPatrol, Rose Cotton, Triple Double A, Solanna