Kendall Roy shaped well when third two starts back and brings proven fitness on 22 days' rest, while his experience over today's trip and going bolsters his claims at 136 lb from stall three; the concern is that last-time-out sixth suggests he needs to find improvement.
Form last 6001936
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR103RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Erosandpsyche shaped with promise when second three starts back, and his experience over today's distance and going gives him a solid grounding here off 133 lb from stall six; the risk is a tendency to disappoint, with two eighths in his last six starts.
Form last 6338258
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR102RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Brussels nevertheless heads the ratings here and steps back onto familiar distance and going, with 30 days between runs suggesting he arrives fresh; the 131 lb burden is the chief question mark.
Form last 6-64050
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR109RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Gazelle d'Or arrives with strong each-way claims, back-to-back runner-up efforts highlighting her consistency, and she has run over today's distance and going before; the main concern is a lengthy 86-day absence, and she remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 60-7022
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR97RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Likedbymike won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her solid claims, though her form in recent starts has been inconsistent, mixing a third and a second with an unplaced effort, and she carries 128 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6429301
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
101SR96RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sarahmae has experience of today's trip and going, and her two wins in her last six starts show she can find the line — a second four starts back and a winner five starts back hint at ability — but three consecutive finishes of sixth, fifth, and sixth in recent starts are the concern, and she carries 128 lb from stall two.
Form last 6112656
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR91RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner four starts back, Cardiff By The Sea has struggled for consistency since, finishing fifth last time out and seventh two starts back, and her 57-day absence adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and draws stall one carrying 126 lb.
Form last 67-1075
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR95RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Focaccia has finished sixth and eighth in her last two starts, and sits bottom of our rankings for this field, making her hard to fancy at the weights; a second three starts back offers some hope, as does experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6178286
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR85RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rated 7 lb below her official mark on our figures and ranked eighth of ten, Rosie Frith is hard to fancy despite winning last time out; she has run over today's trip and going before, but a fourth two starts back and another fourth three starts back leave the overall profile unconvincing.
Form last 6801441
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR89RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Xerling ranks ninth of ten on our figures and arrives on the back of an unplaced run, making her hard to fancy despite a second two starts back and a win three starts back; she has run over today's trip and going, and her draw in stall five is noted.
Form last 60-2120
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR86RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kendall Roy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Miss Kate McGivernChris Hayes
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Brussels
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · A P O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Cardiff By The Sea
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · J A Stack◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Kendall Roy (SR 105, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has attracted significant market confidence — a 15% inward move to 9/2 is meaningful money in a 10-runner Listed sprint. The form string 001936 is messy but the distance fit is moderate and the going is unproven (GoingFit:?) rather than negative, and the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is offset by carrying just 9-10, giving a weight edge over Brussels (9-5) and Erosandpsyche (9-7). Trainer McGivern has a respectable 15% strike rate from a small yard and the Chris Hayes booking at 11% career SR is solid at this level. The market move is the clinching signal here — smart money coming for the SR leader at a workable price.
Each-way alternative: Likedbymike.
Main danger: Likedbymike — Likedbymike (SR 101, 11/2) has steamed 17% into the market, carries a light 9-2, has a confirmed GoingFit:~ on today's good ground, and the Colin Keane booking (16% career strike rate, 1,060 runners) is the strongest jockey signal in the field — a horse returning to the same mark as its last win with top-tier tactical riding is a genuine threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 001936 includes a '9' and '6' — beaten well in recent starts — with a class rise (↑1) into Listed company where that inconsistency is more likely to be exposed.
Brussels (SR:104, A P O'Brien, 7/2 market leader) is only 1 SR point behind, 3yo with probable improvement curve, carrying 5lb less, and O'Brien's 22% trainer SR dwarfs McGivern's 15% in 20 runs.
Going marked as unproven (GoingFit:?) for Kendall Roy yet HG:t (tongue-tie only) — no hood/visor to sharpen focus, while rivals Brussels and Erosandpsyche carry 'tp' gear suggesting they need assista…
Likedbymike (SR:101) has also attracted a 17% inward market move with Colin Keane (16% career SR, strongest jockey in the field) aboard — the 15% move for Kendall Roy is not uniquely compelling when…