Newbury 16:40 11 Jun 2026
Class 4 11 Jun 2026

Today HMC Horse Boxes EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

HMC Horse Boxes EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m1f

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Tarrant Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 3 hours, 23 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Miss Scott silks
Miss Scott
Age 3 · 9-9
1-
89
88
3
9-9
9/2 FCST 7/2
650,000gns yearling who has an attractive pedigree and readily made a winning debut at Leicester (7f, good to soft) last September; her breeding suggests this longer trip will suit and she's a strong contender under a penalty; wears a first-time hood.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Aunt Roberta silks
Aunt Roberta
Age 2 · 9-2
74
2
9-2
12/1
85,000euros yearling; tenth foal; Sea The Stars sister to three winners including Fifty Stars (Australian 6f-1m2f including Group 1), half-sister to winners Revolver (1m4f-2m1f; RPR 107) and Whiskey Sour (7f-2m1f Flat; 105); market check advised on debut but a useful standard is needed.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Hatta Romance silks
Hatta Romance
Age 3 · 9-2
59
3
9-2
66/1
22,000gns 2yo; by Frankel; second foal; dam 7f/1m 2yo winner (including Group 2), out of Listed-placed 1m 2yo winner; makes debut with yard among the winners but a watching brief is probably wisest.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

4
Manaar silks
Manaar
Age 3 · 9-2
85
3
9-2
10/3 FCST 3/1
175,000gns foal, 370,000gns yearling; fifth foal; St Mark's Basilica half-sister to three winners, notably the stable's Dubai Honour (prolific 1m-1m4f including Group 1); intriguing newcomer who could have a big part to play.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Mountain Of Light silks
Mountain Of Light
Age 3 · 9-2
7
38
58
3
9-2
25/1
She cost 425,000gns in 2024 and her inexperience was evident when well beaten at 11-1 on debut at Haydock (1m, good to firm) in April; however, she's probably best watched until showing some promise.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
Pierpoint silks
Pierpoint
Age 3 · 9-2
74
54
78
3
9-2
33/1 FCST 25/1
33-1 and 40-1 this spring on her first two starts (7f/1m2f, good); she's shown ability but improvement is needed to come out on top today.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Pseudonym silks
Pseudonym
Age 3 · 9-2
62
3
9-2
22/1
Fourth foal; Australia half-sister to 7f/1m 2yo winner Ghostwriter (including Group 2); dam Listed-placed 1m4f AW winner; makes debut in a warm contest but it will be interesting to see how she goes in the betting.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Shady Dame silks
Shady Dame
Age 2 · 9-2
26-
93
94
2
9-2
10/3 FCST 3/1
Runner-up on debut at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) last September and not disgraced when sixth of ten in Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes there (7f, good) in October; her dam was a 1m6f Group 3 winner and the step up in trip could be a good move on her reappearance; firmly in calculations.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Tarrant silks
Tarrant
Age 3 · 9-2
33
96
93
3
9-2
10/3 FCST 11/4
Third in a hot newcomers' race here (7f, good) in April; another good performance when third in slowly run maiden at Ascot (1m2f, good) last month; she's a leading form player today.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Trelissick silks
Trelissick
Age 3 · 9-2
47
67
80
3
9-2
16/1
Encouraging fourth of 14 on debut at Kempton (7f, AW) in April; didn't build on that when seventh of ten at Windsor (1m, good) last month but she stumbled leaving the stalls and could get closer to the target today.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Tropical Sands silks
Tropical Sands
Age 3 · 9-2
4
71
72
3
9-2
15/2
28-1 and beaten just over 7l when fourth of 12 on last month's debut at Lingfield (1m, AW); however, she made some late headway and could be sharper for that experience; not ruled out over this extra furlong.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Miss Scott 9/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 9/2 Bet365
2 Aunt Roberta 12/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 14/1 16/1 Coral
3 Hatta Romance 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 Bet365
4 Manaar 10/3 3/1 3/1 10/3 10/3 10/3 Bet365
5 Mountain Of Light 25/1 25/1 33/1 25/1 33/1 Ladbrokes
6 Pierpoint 33/1 33/1 33/1 25/1 25/1 33/1 Bet365
7 Pseudonym 22/1 28/1 28/1 22/1 28/1 Coral
8 Shady Dame 10/3 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3 Bet365
9 Tarrant 10/3 11/4 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3 Bet365
10 Trelissick 16/1 20/1 20/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 Coral
11 Tropical Sands 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Shady Dame

Speculative

Shady Dame owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 John & Thady Gosden William Buick
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tarrant

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

Hatta Romance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Mark Usher
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Shady Dame
56.7 10/3
2 9. Tarrant
55.9 10/3
3 4. Manaar
55.3 10/3
4 1. Miss Scott
53.1 9/2
5 11. Tropical Sands
49.1 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tarrant
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-2
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tarrant
Confidence: Medium

Tarrant leads the field with SR 96 and is trading at 10/3. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Tarrant, Shady Dame, Miss Scott, Manaar, Aunt Roberta
Each-way: Shady Dame Danger: Miss Scott

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade