HMC Horse Boxes EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m1f
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Miss Scott | 11/4 open 5.50 | — | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Aunt Roberta | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 3 Hatta Romance | 80/1 open 67.00 | — | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | — | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Manaar | 3/1 open 4.33 | — | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mountain Of Light | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Pierpoint | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Pseudonym | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Shady Dame | 11/4 open 4.33 | — | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 9 Tarrant | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Trelissick | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 11 Tropical Sands | 15/2 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | — | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Manaar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Tarrant (SR 96, 4/1, 9-2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has demonstrated consistent form with back-to-back third-place finishes — not spectacular, but reliable evidence of genuine ability at a workable level. Richard Hannon regularly targets novice fillies' races at Newbury and the 1m1f trip on good-to-soft should suit a horse that has been running competitively at similar distances. The 4/1 price represents fair market respect without being over-bet, and carrying the same base weight as the majority of the field (9-2) means no penalty burden. Miss Scott (SR 89) and Shady Dame (SR 93) are dangers, but Tarrant's SR superiority and consistent form figures give her the edge. Each-way alternative: Miss Scott. Main danger: Shady Dame — Shady Dame (SR 93, 11/4) is joint-favourite, trained by the in-form Gosden yard, and her form of 2-6 shows she has already placed at this level — a sharper run with a cleaner trip could see her reverse placings with Tarrant.