Went up an aggregate 21lb for three handicap wins last season; unlucky in two of her last three outings, beaten a nose at Limerick (1m, yielding) in April and just failed at Gowran (9.5f, yielding) 10 days ago; enjoys testing conditions; another big run on the cards.
Form last 6-63202
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR84RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won over C&D (good) around this time last year from 8lb lower; missed the break on her return at Gowran 10 days ago when 16l behind Spanish Temptress; wouldn't want it too soft.
Form last 63560-6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR86RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Course winner; has been busy this year; fit from AW when winning at the Curragh (1m, heavy) in March; has largely remained in good form since, given a forceful ride at Roscommon (10.5f) on latest when finishing second; can go well dropped 1lb.
Form last 6120432
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR82RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won twice last season, both at this venue (7f, good to soft) including on this card; remains 5lb above her last win and her first two runs of the season offered little, but the yard had two winners at Roscommon on Monday so watch the betting.
Form last 6926-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR83RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Went close in 1m Navan maiden on the third of five starts last season; a revelation on reappearance at Ballinrobe, winning very easily from an 85-rated favourite; poor run last time at Gowran but could be well treated on handicap debut for all soft ground is an unknown.
Form last 6208-14
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR90RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sole win off 15lb lower at Clonmel last September (9.5f, soft); runner-up first two starts this term at 9.5f-1m5f; tailed off at Gowran 10 days ago; forecast rain a plus; could bounce back.
Form last 645-220
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR79RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Only win from 21 starts came on heavy ground at Gowran (9.5f) last September from 5lb lower; failed to retrieve her best form in first four outings this term, but beaten only 1.25l when third at this course (7f, soft) last week and the step up in trip is a plus.
Form last 6-05663
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR84RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
No win since June 2024; standout effort last year a fine second in premier fillies' handicap at this venue (1m, good to yielding); 5lb lower here but hard to fancy on this season's efforts and testing conditions also a worry.
Form last 690-800
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR88RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Course winner; added her fourth handicap win at Naas in October (10.5f, yielding) off 63; out of her depth on return at Cork before midfield in Naas handicap last month; chance if near her best.
Form last 6140-86
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR83RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Showed some ability on the Flat in France last year without winning but has been poor in three Irish runs, including over hurdles twice for this yard; best watched.
Form last 643000-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR84RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Won 1m2f Chelmsford handicap for Charlie Johnston last year; inconsistent record subsequently and she beat just one rival home on her first two runs for current yard; Irish turf debut.
Form last 685500-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR86RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Best run came when close second in Gowran maiden (9.5f, heavy) last autumn; well below that level since, including on handicap debut at that venue on latest; tongue-tie is reached for now.
Form last 6929-80
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR87RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Failed to threaten in three maidens at 7f-1m but did catch the eye making late gains at Limerick on third start (7f, yielding); made no impact on 7f handicap debut at the Curragh last month; up in trip.
Form last 60-958
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR86RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Maiden but she's generally been running consistently this season; early traffic problems when third at Fairyhouse last month puts her right in the picture; not at her best there six days ago; blinkers; 2lb wrong.
Form last 6-42438
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR80RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Spanish Temptress owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Richard John O'BrienDylan Browne McMonagle
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Great Mover
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · W McCreery✓ Value Signal
Lady Chartwell
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · P Sweeney◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Spanish Temptress leads the field with SR 87 and is trading at 9/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 10-2 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistSpanish Temptress, Great Mover, Marmeladova, Electric Beauty, Justenzia