Bet At racingtv.com Handicap · 1m7f189y
Carrying top weight of 9-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 and inconsistent form of -83601 limits confidence despite short 4/6 odds.
Rated 72 with inconsistent form (3626-6) and carrying 9-8, Bunker Bay shows mid-tier potential at 5/2 despite not attracting favourite market support.
Carrying 9-0 with a Saturday Rating of just 43, poor recent form of 115865, and unfancied at 14/1, Himself holds little appeal.
Poor Saturday Rating of 49, weak recent form (0-9883), and 9/1 odds suggest limited market confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 29, poor form of 54-70, and 33/1 odds signal Lady Buttercup holds no realistic winning chance.
A Saturday Rating of 43 combined with poor form (577-87) and unfancied 12/1 odds signals minimal winning prospects.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Not So Sobers | 5/6 open 1.91 | — | 4/5 open 1.62 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 5/6 open 1.73 | 8/11 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 2 Bunker Bay | 3/1 open 3.00 | — | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Himself | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Speechman | 10/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Lady Buttercup | 12/1 open 34.00 | — | 11/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sugarpiehoneybunch | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bunker Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarrying top weight of 9-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 and inconsistent form of -83601 limits confidence despite short 4/6 odds.
Rated 72 with inconsistent form (3626-6) and carrying 9-8, Bunker Bay shows mid-tier potential at 5/2 despite not attracting favourite market support.
Poor Saturday Rating of 49, weak recent form (0-9883), and 9/1 odds suggest limited market confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 29, poor form of 54-70, and 33/1 odds signal Lady Buttercup holds no realistic winning chance.
A Saturday Rating of 43 combined with poor form (577-87) and unfancied 12/1 odds signals minimal winning prospects.
Carrying 9-0 with a Saturday Rating of just 43, poor recent form of 115865, and unfancied at 14/1, Himself holds little appeal.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Not So Sobers (SR 67, 4/6) is the clear class-leader in this modest Class 6 field, and the drop of two tiers explains why the market is so confident. Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate, 746 career rides) is a significant booking upgrade, and the 6% market shortening reinforces that connections are expecting a bold show. Course:W1P1 at Catterick is a meaningful edge over rivals who are unproven here, and the MarkMv:+5 is the only concern — running off a mark 5lb higher than last win — but that is offset by the class drop and the obvious superiority in SR over every rival (SR 67 versus next-best SR 72 in Bunker Bay, though Bunker Bay's DistFit:- and drifting market are significant negatives). The recent form of -83601 shows inconsistency, but the last run '1' and the step down in class make this a workable proposition. Each-way alternative: Bunker Bay. Main danger: Bunker Bay — Bunker Bay (SR 72, 5/2) holds the highest SR in the field and a MarkMv:-26 suggests a dramatically reduced mark that could make him competitive on raw ability, though his DistFit:- at this trip and a 9% market drift are significant warning signs.