Haven Handicap · 1m2f23y
A Saturday Rating of 64 and poor form figures of /5783- limit confidence despite the 5/2 market position and 9-9 weight assignment.
Divot's mid-range Saturday Rating of 58 and inconsistent form (3-2357) justify a moderate 3/5 despite competitive 3/1 odds.
Zafaan's recent form of 1555-1 and competitive 7/4 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 60 and 9-2 weight.
Carrying top weight of 9-1 with a weak Saturday Rating of 49 and inconsistent form of 351775 limits confidence at 13/2.
Sweetstevie's dismal form (00925), low Saturday Rating of 44, and 12/1 odds reflect a horse the market strongly dismisses.
A Saturday Rating of 26, 33/1 odds, and form showing 546900 make Pure Theory a weak contender in this field.
Saturday Rating of 27 and 22/1 odds reflect poor recent form (3-9945) making Sunset In Paris a weak 8-11 runner.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Zaraquelle | 5/2 open 4.33 | — | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Divot | 2/1 open 4.00 | — | 2/1 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 15/8 open 3.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Zafaan | 2/1 open 2.75 | — | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.63 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Spaceage Love Song | 9/1 open 6.50 | — | 10/1 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 5.50 | 10/1 Coral |
| 5 Sweetstevie | 22/1 open 11.00 | — | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 6 Pure Theory | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Sunset In Paris | 28/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Zaraquelle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalDivot's mid-range Saturday Rating of 58 and inconsistent form (3-2357) justify a moderate 3/5 despite competitive 3/1 odds.
Zafaan's recent form of 1555-1 and competitive 7/4 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 60 and 9-2 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 64 and poor form figures of /5783- limit confidence despite the 5/2 market position and 9-9 weight assignment.
Carrying top weight of 9-1 with a weak Saturday Rating of 49 and inconsistent form of 351775 limits confidence at 13/2.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Zaraquelle (SR:64, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in this modest Class 6 field and has steamed in 29% in the market — the most significant move in the race, suggesting connections and informed money are confident. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) from her most recent run is a decisive contextual advantage that the SR already partly captures, and at 9-9 she is only 7lb above bottom weight, a manageable burden at this level. Ed Dunlop (12% strike rate, 423 runners) books Mason Paetel who carries a 5lb claim, further reducing the effective weight and showing the trainer wants to win — not just fill a slot. The 317-day absence and the tongue-tie (HG:t) suggest a horse returning refreshed with a specific plan, and the market's strong shortening supports that reading. Each-way alternative: Zafaan. Main danger: Zafaan — Zafaan (SR:60, 7/4) is the favourite, has a course win and place (Course:W1P1), returned to winning ways on her most recent run just 12 days ago at the same class, and Billy Loughnane's 18% strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic in the field — if she handles today's conditions and the quick turnaround, she is the most credible threat to Zaraquelle.