Darley Irish EBF Stanerra Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) · 1m5f200y
Floresta's Saturday Rating of 98 and patchy form (1215-0) at 7/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Weak form figures of 00-247, a 91 Saturday Rating, and 9/1 odds signal limited competitiveness in this Group 3 heat.
Recent form collapse (eighth last run) and a Saturday Rating of 91 undermine her favourability despite even-money odds.
At 50/1 with a Saturday Rating of 60 and poor recent form of 34-468, Jannah Star offers no credible winning prospects.
Nuit's 79 Saturday Rating, 16/1 odds, and uninspiring 4302-4 form make her an outsider with little market confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 104 and consistent form of 517-25 justify mid-range appeal at 11/4, though non-favourite status limits confidence.
Bloom's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 103, inconsistent form (71-337), and 9/1 odds suggest she's a market outsider without the consistency to warrant higher confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 71 and poor recent form (6516) at 28-1 in the market signal minimal winning prospects.
Ice Dancer's 40/1 odds, poor recent form of 13-779, and low Saturday Rating of 66 confirm minimal winning prospects.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Floresta | 6/1 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 2 Galileo Dame | 11/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Goodie Two Shoes | 11/8 open 2.00 | — | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/10 open 2.00 | 11/8 open 1.80 | 11/8 open 2.00 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Jannah Star | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Nuit | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 6 Perfect Your Craft | 5/2 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Bloom | 9/1 open 9.50 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dreamkeeper | 18/1 open 34.00 | — | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Ice Dancer | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Floresta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRecent form collapse (eighth last run) and a Saturday Rating of 91 undermine her favourability despite even-money odds.
A Saturday Rating of 104 and consistent form of 517-25 justify mid-range appeal at 11/4, though non-favourite status limits confidence.
Floresta's Saturday Rating of 98 and patchy form (1215-0) at 7/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Bloom's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 103, inconsistent form (71-337), and 9/1 odds suggest she's a market outsider without the consistency to warrant higher confidence.
Weak form figures of 00-247, a 91 Saturday Rating, and 9/1 odds signal limited competitiveness in this Group 3 heat.
A Saturday Rating of 71 and poor recent form (6516) at 28-1 in the market signal minimal winning prospects.
Nuit's 79 Saturday Rating, 16/1 odds, and uninspiring 4302-4 form make her an outsider with little market confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Perfect Your Craft leads the field on SR (104) and is the sole horse showing strong market confidence — steaming in 26% from opening price to 11/4, which is a significant move in a nine-runner Group 3 and suggests informed support. Trainer P Twomey operates at a 25% career strike rate from 202 runners, a standout figure in this field, and W J Lee (14%, 638) is a reliable booking. The form string 517-25 shows a recent placed effort and the horse is running at the same class level (ClassMv:=), avoiding the penalty of a class rise. While DistFit:? means no confirmed distance profile, the going and distance unknowns apply equally to most rivals, making that a neutral rather than a negative. Each-way alternative: Bloom. Main danger: Bloom — Bloom (SR:103) carries a favourable 8-10 versus the 9-9 carried by Perfect Your Craft — a meaningful weight edge in this company — and as a 3-year-old from the AP O'Brien yard (24% strike rate) with a form line including back-to-back placed efforts, she could exploit that allowance at 9/1.