Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Makinbecon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Barry John MurphyCallum Pritchard
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Saucats
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Joe Tickle✓ Value Signal
Applejack Poet
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Barry John Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Makinbecon (SR:95, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field — his SR of 95 sits well above the next-best Saucats (SR:86) and represents genuine superiority at Class 5 level. The market has backed this up emphatically with a 17% inward move, making him the well-supported favourite. Crucially, he holds the only confirmed GoingFit:+ in the field on today's Good ground, and his Course:W1P2 record at Newton Abbot shows he handles this track. The form reads 9-5131, showing a clear upward trajectory with a win last time out, though the MarkMv:+5 means he runs off a 5lb higher mark — the one caveat — but his SR lead and going preference absorb that comfortably. Trainer Barry John Murphy runs three here; Makinbecon draws the yard's best jockey booking in Callum Pritchard (13% strike rate from 346 runners) versus the 3% David Noonan on stablemate Applejack Poet and the unproven Paul O'Brien on Yanka Blue, confirming this is unambiguously the yard's number one.
Each-way alternative: Yanka Blue.
Main danger: Saucats — Saucats (SR:86, 4/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-13, owns Course:W1P3 form at Newton Abbot, and ran a recent 2 last time out, but the 20% market drift and GoingFit:- flag suggest connections or the market has reservations about today's conditions.