Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mathoura owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Mrs John HarringtonShane Foley
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Star Performer
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Trumph
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Mrs John Harrington◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mathoura carries the highest SR in the field at 158 — a full 5 points clear of Star Performer (SR:153) — and is the only runner showing a meaningful market move, steaming in 18% to 7/2. Her form of 2-3 shows she has been placed in both career starts and is clearly competitive at this level. The Harrington yard runs at 10% strike rate with 734 runners, a solid base, and Shane Foley (11%, 809 runners) is the senior booking from the stable over Nathan Crosse (3%, 375 runners) on stablemate Trumph, confirming she is Harrington's number one. While both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown samples for all runners, the SR advantage combined with the significant market support and form-line evidence makes her the most credible winner.
Each-way alternative: Star Performer.
Main danger: Star Performer — Star Performer (SR:153) is a debutante for Joseph Patrick O'Brien with Dylan Browne McMonagle booked — a 15% strike-rate jockey on 916 rides — and unraced horses from that yard with strong SR readings regularly run well first time, making her the chief unknown quantity that could upset Mathoura.