James Nolan Bar Kildare Nursery Handicap · 0m6f0y
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lars Soldier | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Tradewinds | 3/1 | — | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Desert Alchemist | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 I Ready | 6/1 open 7.50 | — | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Seven Nation Army | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 11/4 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Belle Island | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 7 Lucy's Promise | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Woodlawn Lily | 22/1 open 19.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tradewinds owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Seven Nation Army (SR:76, 3/1) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien — the strongest yard in the field by volume and strike rate (15%, 1,439 runners) — and ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle, whose 15% strike rate from 916 career rides is the best jockey booking on the card. The market has shortened 11% since opening, a meaningful steam signal on a 2yo nursery that often rewards informed money. At 9-0, the horse carries 12lb less than top-weight Lars Soldier (9-12, SR:79) — a weight edge that more than compensates for the 3-point SR deficit at this class level. The form string 886 is unspectacular but the last-time-out sixth came 61 days ago, and the combination of a powerful stable freshening a lightly-raced juvenile with Browne McMonagle booked suggests a readiness peak is anticipated today. Each-way alternative: Tradewinds. Main danger: Tradewinds — Tradewinds (SR:84, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, proven at today's distance (DistFit:+), was last seen just 16 days ago keeping fresh, and is trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien whose yard has a solid 13% strike rate — if the drift of 11% is explained by the headgear change (p) rather than stable confidence, the ability advantage could still tell.