Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice Handicap Stakes · 0m7f15y
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dannick | 11/4 | — | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 3/1 Coral |
| 2 Gunfighter | 13/2 open 7.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 7/1 Coral |
| 3 Anthropologist | 6/1 open 11.00 | — | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Red Mirage | 22/1 open 21.00 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Pursuit of Truth | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Avatar Jet | 11/2 open 9.00 | — | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Blazing Son | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 8 Portman Blue | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Shamacid | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Fan Mail | 12/1 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Betfred |
| 11 Triggerman | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Wish This | 28/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Finn Ironside | 12/1 open 8.50 | — | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Timely Affair | 4/1 open 6.00 | — | 7/2 open 5.50 | 9/2 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Timely Affair owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Timely Affair (SR:77, 4/1) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and carries only 9-4, a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Dannick (SR:73, 9-12). The form string 522133 shows a horse in progressive, consistent form with three placings in its last three runs, and critically it has won twice and placed four times at Southwell (Course:W2P4) — outstanding course form at a track where familiarity matters enormously. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this horse handles today's exact conditions, and the market has shortened 7% since opening, indicating steady money behind the selection. William Knight (14% strike rate, 211 runners) is a trainer who wins with his horses at the right time, and Jack Nicholls at 12% is the stronger jockey booking relative to most rivals. Each-way alternative: Avatar Jet. Main danger: Avatar Jet — Avatar Jet (SR:75, 11/2) combines an excellent course record (W1P2 at Southwell), DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — mirroring Timely Affair's condition suitability — and has steamed in 22% in the market, suggesting strong stable confidence despite a 50-day layoff.